Conditional performance guarantees with risky collaterals are specific bonding instruments that are not credit extensions or require only a service fee. Instead, they resemble a credit default swap (CDS) that is essentially an insurance contract and can thus be priced accordingly. A CDS-based...

The real option approach is used to value the minimum revenue guarantee (MRG) and the option to abandon in Build-Operate-Transfer infrastructure projects. The option to abandon is formulated under an investment option held by the concessionaire at contract signing and to expire before...

The down-and-out call option approach was used to analyse contractor financial risk under shorter-term debt structures. The maximum likelihood method was applied to estimate contractor default barriers and probabilities implied by stock prices series and actual debt maturities calculated from...

The valuation of multi-stage build-operate-transfer projects is not a trivial task. It needs to deal with uncertain project values in future expansions and the possibility of expansions or abandonment in the presence of project risks. The valuation problem becomes more difficult when multi-stage...