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Building on the hypotheses of loss aversion with respect to price increases and availability of frequently bought goods, Brachinger (2006, 2008) constructs an alternative index of perceived inflation (IPI), which can reproduce the jump in the measure for perceived inflation after the Euro...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010425230
Using quantitative survey data from the Swedish Consumer Tendency Survey as well as a unique data set on media reports about inflation, we analyze the formation process of inflation perceptions and expectations as well as interrelations between the variables. Throughout the analysis, the role of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010425851
The DSGE model with endogenous and time-varying sticky information in Dräger (2010) is extended by allowing agents' recursive choice between forecasts under rational or sticky information to affect the model solution. Dynamic equilibrium paths generate highly persistent series for output,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010425852
Building on Prospect Theory, we apply the concept of loss aversion to the formation of inflation perceptions and test empirically for non-linearities in the inflation-perceptions relation for a panel of 10 Euro area countries. Specifically, under the assumption of loss aversion, inflation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010425854
Building on the models of sticky information, we endogenize the probability of obtaining new information by introducing a switching mechanism allowing agents to choose between costly rational expectations and costless expectations under sticky information. Thereby, the share of agents with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010425861
This paper aims at providing macroeconomists with a detailed exposition of the New Keynesian DSGE model. Both the sticky price version and the sticky information variant are derived mathematically. Moreover, we simulate the models, also including lagged terms in the sticky price version, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010425864
Against the background of the recent housing boom and bust in countries such as Spain and Ireland, we investigate in this paper the macroeconomic consequences of cross-border banking in monetary unions such as the euro area. For this purpose, we incorporate in an otherwise standard two-region...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011299044
There is a growing interest in studying the disagreement of economic agents. Most studies, however, focus on the disagreement regarding one specific variable, hereby neglecting that disagreement may be comoving with disagreement on other variables. In this paper we explore to which extent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010526685
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012144876
Using a new consumer survey dataset, we document a new dimension of heterogeneity in inflation expectations that has implications for consumption and saving decisions as well as monetary policy transmission. We show that German households with the same inflation expectations differently assess...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012173266