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It is commonly agreed that the term spread and stock returns are useful in predicting recessions.We extend these empirical findings by examining interest rate and stock market volatility as additional recession indicators.Both risk-return analysis and the theory of investment under uncertainty...
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Some years ago, Crack and Ledoit (1996) discovered a strikingly geometric structure when plotting US stock returns against themselves. Since this pattern, in which lines radiating from the origin pop up, resembles the navigating tool it was named “Compass Rose”. Although authors differ in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005252247
In this study, we demonstrate that the average reporting lag of Belgian interim reports is large but has decreased slightly over the years 1991-1998. Contrary to US findings, we show that the disclosure of interim reports containing bad (good) news is not systematically delayed (speeded up)....
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Corporate bonds expose the investor to credit risk, which will be reflected in the credit spread. Based on the EMU Broad Market indices, we study the inter-temporal stability of the covariance and correlation matrices of credit spread changes. Within a multivariate framework, the Box and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005824226
It is commonly agreed that the term spread and stock returns are useful in predicting recessions. We extend these empirical findings by examining interest rate and stock market volatility as additional recession indicators. Both risk-return analysis and the theory of investment under uncertainty...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005648836