Using logit-based financial statement analysis, Ou and Penman estimate an earnings predictor (Pr) that also predicts returns. We develop a forecasting model that purges measurement error (i.e., expected earnings) from the Ou and Penman proxy for the market's unexpected earnings. If market...

type="main" xml:id="acfi12012-abs-0001" <title type="main">Abstract</title> <p>We investigate how the market's subjective estimates of autocorrelation in quarterly earnings vary with objective time-series estimates. Our results suggest that investors increasingly underestimate the correlation as the autocorrelation level...</p>

This study examines the relevance of "Financial Accounting Standards (SFAS) No. 95" operating cash flow disclosures for assessing a primary component of firm risk, namely credit risk. We find that "SFAS No. 95" operating cash flows is an important determinant of credit risk, measured by debt...