Subsidized capital flows have made a major contribution to the recovery of the Turkish economy from the acute balance of payments crisis of the late 1970s. The inflow of foreign capital on a substantial scale has facilitated rapid growth in imports of essential raw materials and investment goods...

The objective of the paper is to provide a critical assessment of the emerging post-Washington Consensus (PWC), as a new paradigm in the development debate. The paper begins by tracing the main record of the Washington Consensus, the set of neoliberal economic policies propogated foremost by key...

The main objective of this study is to propose an analytical framework to explain the major policy shifts that has characterized post-war Turkish economic development; divided into four phases, starting respectively in 1950, 1960, 1980, and 2001. Its main contribution is to incorporate external...

Amerikan Doları - Türk Lirası döviz kuru, LIBOR ve hazine bono getirisi aylık verileri kullanılarak, 1987 - 1997 arası Türkiye.ye sıcak para akımlarının önemli göstergesi olan risk primi incelenmektedir. Türk Lirasının beklenen değer kaybı, akılcı beklentiler (rational...

Covered Interest Parity describes an idealised situation in foreign exchange markets in which the interest rates on assets differing only in the currency of denomination will be equal. This article describes the theoretical assumptions under which CIP holds and the evidence for CIP in practice.

Several models establish a positive association between public debt ratios and long-term real yields, but the empirical evidence is not always conclusive. We reconsider this issue, focusing in particular on possible spillover effects of large advanced economies' debt levels to other economies'...

This paper analyzes the effects of regular seasonal fluctuations of macroeconomic variables in Turkey due to the religious events (religious holidays and Ramadan)[1] in monthly frequency. Conventional deterministic deseasonalization techniques are applied to the detrended and linearized major...

This paper analyzes business cycles in Mexico and Turkey and the results are compared to those for the United States. Excess volatility of real output as well as excess relative volatility of consumption in Mexico and Turkey is uncovered. Fiscal and monetary variables do not yield clear-cut...

This article presents a range of tools and indicators for analysing fiscal vulnerabilities and risks for advanced economies. The analysis covers key short-, medium- and long-term dimensions. Short-term pressures are captured by assessing (i) gross funding needs, (ii) market perceptions of...