This paper analyzes how major external shocks and policy reforms affect Bolivia's ability to achieve pro-poor growth. Employing a recursive-dynamic CGE model, it considers three different scenarios: an optimistic baseline scenario that roughly extrapolates the situation prevailing before the...

This case study examines to what extent Bolivia has been able to achieve pro-poor growth, what the mechanisms of achieving (or failing to achieve) pro-poor growth have been, and what options are available to ensure higher rates of pro-poor growth. The analysis focuses on the period from 1989 to...

This paper addresses the question of whether the Bolivian gas boom of the 1990s has bypassed large parts of the poor population, thereby leading to increasing inequalities in an already unequal society. Using a Computable General Equilibrium model that is sequentially linked to a microsimulation...

Kritiker der Anpassungspolitik von IWF und Weltbank halten deren Programme für nicht entwicklungsverträglich. Erstens würden die positiven Wachstumswirküngen struktureller Maßnahmen aufgrund einer zu strikten makroökonomischen Stabilisierung weitgehend ausbleiben. Zweitens würden die...

This paper reviews Bolivia's economic and social development over the period 1985-99, and investigates the country's future prospects for pro-poor growth using a Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model. It turns out that past economic growth cannot be called pro-poor. Model simulations show...

Fortschritte bei der Armutsbekämpfung sind in Bolivien seit Beginn der Reformen eher bescheiden geblieben, wenn man die erzielten Stabilisierungs- und Wachstumserfolge als Referenz zugrunde legt; sie sind sogar enttäuschend, wenn man sie an den Zielen der Armutsreduzierungsstrategie misst. Die...

Over the decades, the views on the interrelation between poverty reduction, inequality and growth have undergone different waves within the development community. Development discourse in the decades after the Second World War was largely framed by Kuznets' model. This model proposed rising...