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In this paper data-driven algorithms for fitting SEMIFAR models (Beran, 1999) are proposed. The algorithms combine the data-driven estimation of the nonparametric trend and maximum likelihood estimation of the parameters. For selecting the bandwidth, the proposal of Beran and Feng (1999) based...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011543365
The distinction between stationarity, difference stationarity, deterministic trends as well as between short- and long-range dependence has a major impact on statistical conclusions, such as confidence intervals for population quantities or point and interval forecasts. In this paper, recent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011543928
Prediction in time series models with a trend requires reliable estimation of the trend function at the right end of the observed series. Local polynomial smoothing is a suitable tool because boundary corrections are included implicitly. However, outliers may lead to unreliable estimates, if...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011544323
This paper considers a class of semiparametric models being the sum of a non-parametric trend function g and a FARIMA-GARCH error process. Estimation of ĝ (v), the vth derivative of g, by local polynomial fitting is investigated. The focus is on the derivation of the asymptotic normality of ĝ...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011544427
In this paper data-driven algorithms for fitting SEMIFAR models (Beran, 1999) are proposed. The algorithms combine the data-driven estimation of the nonparametric trend and maximum likelihood estimation of the parameters. Convergence and asymptotic properties of the proposed algorithms are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011544511
This paper is written as a supplement to our paper Iterative plug-in algorithms for SEMIFAR models-definition, convergence and asymptotic properties (Beran and Feng, 2001). The purpose of this supplement is to report the detailed simulation results, because it is impossible to include all of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011544728
Nonparametric regression with long-range and antipersistent errors is considered. Local polynomial smoothing is investigated for the estimation of the trend function and its derivatives. It is well known that in the presence of long memory (with a fractional differencing parameter 0 d 1/2),...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011544738