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Frühindikatoren sind ein wichtiges Hilfsmittel für die Konjunkturdiagnose und für das Erkennen von Wendepunkten. Derzeit werden häufig Indikatoren verwendet, die aus Umfrageergebnissen abgeleitet werden. Der hier vorgestellte Frühindikator basiert dagegen auf einem multivariaten...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009418316
Frühindikatoren sind ein wichtiges Hilfsmittel für die Konjunkturdiagnose und für das Erkennen von Wendepunkten. Derzeit werden häufig Indikatoren verwendet, die aus Umfrageergebnissen abgeleitet werden. Der hier vorgestellte Frühindikator basiert dagegen auf einem multivariaten...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010302416
In this paper we present two new composite leading indicators of economicactivity in Germany estimated using a dynamic factor model with and withoutregime switching. The obtained optimal inferences of business cycle turningpoints indicate that the two-state regime switching procedure leads to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010315082
In this Paper we present two new composite leading indicators of economic activity in Germany estimated using a dynamic factor model with and without regime switching. The obtained optimal inferences of business cycle turning points indicate that the two-state regime switching procedure leads to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005582268
In this paper we present two new composite leading indicators of economicactivity in Germany estimated using a dynamic factor model with and withoutregime switching. The obtained optimal inferences of business cycle turningpoints indicate that the two-state regime switching procedure leads to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005405982
In this paper we present two new composite leading indicators of economic activity in Germany estimated using a dynamic factor model with and without regime switching. The obtained optimal inferences of business cycle turning points indicate that the two-state regime switching procedure leads to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005635593
In this paper we present two new composite leading indicators of economicactivity in Germany estimated using a dynamic factor model with and withoutregime switching. The obtained optimal inferences of business cycle turningpoints indicate that the two-state regime switching procedure leads to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011400394
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001775826