As a result of economic and structural changes, the automotive supply industry has been facing significant consolidation activity over the last twenty years. The pressure to produce better equipped and less expensive automobiles has created a growing trend towards specialization and...

This paper documents that factors extracted from a large set of macroeconomic variables bear useful information for predicting monthly US excess stock returns and volatility over the period 1980-2005. Factor-augmented predictive regression models improve upon both benchmark models that only...

This paper investigates the determinants of credit spread changes on bonds denominated in euro. The analysis is carried out using a panel data on euro bonds. We try to asses the relative importance of market and idiosyncratic factors in explaining the movements in credit spread. Because credit...

When the yield curve is modelled using an affine factor model, residuals may still contain relevant information and do not adhere to the familiar white noise assumption.This paper proposes a pragmatic way to improve out of sample performance for yield curve forecasting. The proposed adjustment...