We provide a structural investigation and interpretation of the questions: What is the origin of business cycle fluctuations? What is the main source of recessions, in particular, since the early 1970s? Are there energy business cycles? Indirect Inference estimation of a two-sector dynamic...

A mix of global, national and state-specific shocks help drive employment fluctuations between U.S. states. Econometric modeling shows such differences among metropolitan areas also reflect a mix of shocks. Texas cities strongly tied to oil and gas activity appear more affected by energy-sector...