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wages, which does not impose any structure between real wages and observed cyclical indicators. In particular, we employ a … Bayesian dynamic factor model and longitudinal microdata to estimate common latent factors driving real wages. We find that the … comovement of real wages is related to a common factor that exhibits a mild correlation with the national unemployment rate. Our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010288748
that this model can reproduce the observed cyclical patterns of wages and the skill-premium. The feature of capital …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322786
Traditional models of the labor market typically assume that wages are set by the market, not the firm. However, over … suggest that a monopsonistic model, where individual firms and not the market set wages, may be more appropriate. This model … attributes more wage-setting power to firms, particularly during economic downturns, which helps explain why wages decrease …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011662673
How do wages respond to financial recessions? Based on a dynamic macroeconomic model with frictions in the labor and … and explore their effect on wages. First, the financial labor wedge reduces wages. Second, financial constraints may … interact with aggregate labor market conditions in various ways putting upward or downward pressure on wages. We test partial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012497880
Despite notable improvements in the labour market since 2013, wage growth in the euro area was subdued and substantially overpredicted in 2013-17. This paper summarises the findings of an ESCB expert group on the reasons for low wage growth and provides comparable analyses on wage developments...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012141429
This paper analyzes the performance of the monthly economic policy uncertainty (EPU) index in predicting recessionary regimes of the (quarterly) U.S. GDP. In this regard, the authors apply a mixed-frequency Markov-switching vector autoregressive (MF-MS-VAR) model, and compare its in-sample and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011555275
This article aims at assessing the main characteristics of the business cycle of 80 developed and developing countries. By comparing the possibility for these economies to enter or to exit a recession and the associated consequences, it aims at complementing existing literature with regard to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011561795
This article investigates the role of technology, education and wages in shaping the skill structure of employment … of the overall skill structure. Results document the role that different types of technological change, education, wages …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011564738
In this study I review the main scientific contributions of Minsky and other scholars to the financial instability and crisis issues, and the role of institutions in modeling the medium and long financial and business waves. The topics developed in this paper are the following: the relationships...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011565008
This paper examines business cycle synchronization in the European Monetary Union with a special focus on the core-periphery pattern in the aftermath of the crisis. Using a quarterly index for business cycle synchronization by Cerqueira (2013), our panel data estimates suggest that it is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011572139