This paper provides the quantitative estimate of the potential growth bonus for CIS countries, and in particular EU's Easter Neighbours, that can be a result of deeper institutional harmonisation with the EU. Econometric investigation involving instrumental variable, simultaneous equation and...

Conventional econometric analysis using VEC suggests that there is a long-term relationship between nominal world GDP and nominal world exports. The analysis cannot say anything about the causal relationships between the levels of GDP and exports. But it says a lot about the rules governing the...

Central bank independence is a common feature in advanced economies. Delegation of monetary policy to an independent central bank with a clear mandate for price stability has proven to be successful in keeping a check on inflation and providing a trusted currency. However, it is also a fact that...

This paper reviews potential output from a euro area perspective by summarising the developments according to international institutions and assessing the impact of the crisis. The paper also considers the methodological basis for potential output estimates, and the high degree of uncertainty...

Financial integration in some segments of the financial markets started to deteriorate during the recent period of economic turmoil in Europe. This paper examines whether this phenomenon also holds true for the European retail payments market. In comparison with other segments of the financial...

Economic policy in the EU faces a trilemma of solving three challenges simultaneously - growth, distribution, and the environment. In order to assess policies that address these issues simultaneously, economic models need to account for both sector-sector and sector-environment feedbacks within...

This paper explains the basic mechanisms of Norges Bank's core model for monetary policy analysis and forecasting (NEMO). NEMO has recently been extended with an oil sector to incorporate important channels of shocks to the Norwegian economy. We show how the effects of a change in the oil price...

Dieses Papier soll als wissenschaftliche Grundlage einer Diskussion über die Vereinbarkeit einer positiven Zinsrate mit einer nicht mehr wachsenden Wirtschaft dienen. Erst eine Auseinandersetzung mit den komplexen und teils widersprüchlichen Fragen der Wirtschaftswissenschaft erlaubt, zu...

In der jüngeren Vergangenheit wurde immer wieder eine expansive Fiskalpolitik zur Wachstumsförderung auf Basis von neukeynesianischen Modellen gefordert. Dieser Modelltyp hat sich wirtschaftshistorisch aus einer Synthese von neoklassischen und keynesianischen Elementen entwickelt und spielt in...