Showing 1 - 10 of 12
This paper discusses prior elicitation for the parameters of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models and provides a method for constructing prior distributions for a subset of these parameters from beliefs about the moments of the endogenous variables. The empirical application...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010283549
This study measures the informal economy of North Cyprus (NC) by using the MIMIC Model Approach. The data, picked up from the website of the North Cyprus State Planning Organization, start from 1977 and go to 2015. Because North Cyprus is a small island, the applicability of different models are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011788822
There are different views on the specifications of market share models between economists and marketing researchers. The paper made a multi-criteria comparison between the two well-known demand system models, the AIDS and Translog model that are subject to the symmetry and homogeneity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005130167
This article presents a comparative analysis of four macroeconometric models whose proprietors participated in a model comparison conference focused on the new euro area economy. One model, the Area-Wide Model recently developed at the European Central Bank, treats the whole area as a single...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005702540
In Bayesian analysis of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) prior distributions for some of the taste-and-technology parameters can be obtained from microeconometric or pre-sample evidence, but it is difficult to elicit priors for the parameters that govern the law of motion of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005792164
Some argue that central banks can improve monetary policy by including confidential supervisory assessments of banking organizations in their forecasts of inflation and unemployment. In this study we examine the extent to which forecasts of these variables would have been improved with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005087009
In Bayesian analysis of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models, prior distributions for some of the taste-and-technology parameters can be obtained from microeconometric or presample evidence, but it is difficult to elicit priors for the parameters that govern the law of motion of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292279
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009500892
Inference regarding trends in climatic data series, including comparisons across different data sets as well as univariate trend significance tests, is complicated by the presence of serial correlation and step-changes in the mean. We review recent developments in the estimation of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009320201
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009327542