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This paper gives a systematic application of maximum likelihood inference concerning cointegration vectors in non … dummies. The hypothesis of cointegration is given a simple parametric form in terms of cointegration vectors and their weights … related to the weights. Tests for the presence of cointegration vectors, both with and without a linear trend in the non …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005232990
The purpose of this paper is to give a systematic account of the maximum likelihood inference concerning cointegration … vectors in non-stationary vector value autoregressive time series with Gaussian errors. The hypothesis of r cointegration … vectors is given a simple parametric formulation in terms of cointegration vectors and their weights. We then estimate and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005749557
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We consider the fractional cointegrated vector autoregressive (CVAR) model of Johansen and Nielsen (2012a) and show that the test statistic for the ususal CVAR model is asymptotically chi-squared distributed. Because the usual CVAR model lies on the boundary of the parameter space for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011756080
In the cointegrated vector autoregression (CVAR) literature, deterministic terms have until now been analyzed on a case-by-case, or as-needed basis. We give a comprehensive uni ed treatment of deterministic terms in the additive model Xt = γZt + Yt, where Zt belongs to a large class of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011517008
There are simple well-known conditions for the validity of regression and correlation as statistical tools. We analyse by examples the effect of nonstationarity on inference using these methods and compare them to model based inference using the cointegrated vector autoregressive model. Finally...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009767620
with general cointegration rank. Our hedge is optimal in the sense of minimum variance portfolio. We consider a model that … correlation and cointegration parameters. For short holding periods the correlation impact is predominant. For long horizons, the … hedge ratio should overweight the cointegration parameters rather then short-run correlation information. In the innite …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010244526
fractional cointegration types; survival analysis; statistical modelling; likelihood; econometric methodology; the teaching and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013355167