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forecasting performance. Also proposed are a new bootstrap test for the goodness of fit of models and a bandwidth selector based …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011126715
In this paper the performance of information criteria and a test against SETAR nonlinearity for outlier contaminated time series are investigated. Additive outliers can seriously influence the properties of the underlying time series and hence of linearity tests, resulting in spurious test...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011521180
In this paper the performance of information criteria and a test against SETAR nonlinearity for outlier contaminated time series are investigated. Additive outliers can seriously influence the properties of the underlying time series and hence of linearity tests, resulting in spurious test...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011488709
The objective of this paper is to introduce the break preserving local linear (BPLL) estimator for the estimation of unstable volatility functions. Breaks in the structure of the conditional mean and/or the volatility functions are common in Finance. Markov switching models (Hamilton, 1989) and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008577798
Stuetzle and Mittal (1979) for ordinary nonparametric kernel regression and Kauermann and Tutz (1996) for nonparametric generalized linear model kernel regression constructed estimators with lower order bias than the usual estimators, without the need for devices such as second derivative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010310781
Stuetzle and Mittal (1979) for ordinary nonparametric kernel regression and Kauermann and Tutz (1996) for nonparametric generalized linear model kernel regression constructed estimators with lower order bias than the usual estimators, without the need for devices such as second derivative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010983807
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011705234
The recent empirical evidence documenting the presence of asymmetries in business cycles represents a challenge for the standard equilibrium models of real business cycle. These models successfully explain most first and second moments of the actual time series, but cannot replicate non-linear...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005467299
Using nonlinear testing procedures relevant to the recent literature, this study provides evidence of nonlinear adjustment of nominal exchange rate towards monetary fundamentals in the context of ASEAN-5 countries. While it supports earlier findings supportive of monetary exchange rate model in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005619526
This paper proposes an alternative way of testing FOREX efficiency for developing countries. The FOREX market will be efficient if fully reflects all available information. If this holds, the actual exchange rate will not deviate significantly from its equilibrium rate. Moreover, the spot rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005040027