This article presents three methods to estimate the logarithm of monthly real GDP in Mexico from the Global Indicator of Economic Activity (IGAE): (1) a deterministic approach using the IGAE growth rate; (2) an extension of Denton method; and, (3) the Kalman filter. In these methods the monthly...

In assessing drivers of commodity prices and volatility at this stage of the current super-cycle in commodities (year 12 of a projected 25), it is vital to understand that production cost is a fundamental. Moreover, marginal production costs are among the most powerful drivers of commodity...

This study investigates long run relationship between Intra Industry Trade, fiscal policy and Terms of Trade of Pakistan. Considering the intention, time series data having time span from 1972 to 2014 is chosen. Data is collected through various sources like World Development Indicators,...

The critique by Gahn and González (2019) of the conclusions in Nikiforos (2016) regarding what data should be used to evaluate whether capacity utilization is endogenous to demand is weak for the following reasons: The Federal Reserve Board (FRB) measure of utilization is not appropriate for...

Population growth is one of the fundamental factors that directly determine the supply of human resources which are indisputably critical for production. Population growth plays a pivotal role in country's economic development trajectory. Most economically developed countries have significantly...

The intuitiveness and practicability of mean-variance portfolios largely depends on the accuracy of moment estimates, which are subject to large estimation errors and conditional on time. We propose a model accounting for factor dynamics in a Bayesian setting, in which the impact of estimation...

Banks have been historically the most important kind of financial intermediaries. In Nigeria, they account for more than 60 percent of the market capitalization of quoted firms on the Nigerian Stock Exchange. Even though, there have been many well-known studies on the relationship between...

This paper introduces a little known category of estimators - Linear Non-Gaussian vector autoregression models that are acyclic or cyclic - imported from the machine learning literature, to revisit a well-known debate. Does exporting increase firm productivity? Or is it only more productive...

The critique by Gahn and González (2019) of the conclusions in Nikiforos (2016) regarding what data should be used to evaluate whether capacity utilization is endogenous to demand is weak for the following reasons: (i) The Federal Reserve Board (FRB) measure of utilization is not appropriate...