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Automation technologies and employment at risk : the case of Mexico

Cebreros, Alfonso; Heffner-Rodríguez, Aldo; Livas, René; … - 2020

Based on the methodology proposed by Frey and Osborne (2017), we use their estimates for the probability of automation of occupations together with household survey data on the occupational distribution of employment to provide a risk assessment for the threat that automation may pose to the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012224000

The blighted youth : the impact of recessions and policies on life-cycle unemployment

Lopez-Martin, Bernabe; Takayama, Naoki - 2015

earnings losses for young workers generated by unemployment: unemployment represents time forgone in terms of human capital … downturn, as documented in the empirical literature. At the aggregate level, the framework delivers youth unemployment rates … that are higher and more sensitive to fluctuations in aggregate productivity than total unemployment rates. Additionally …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011389663

Can matching frictions explain the increase in Mexican unemployment after 2008?

Arroyo Miranda, Juan; Gómez Cram, Roberto; Lever … - 2014

whether changes in matching frictions can explain the large and persistent increase in Mexican unemployment after the 2008 … unemployment rate. Hence, these results suggest that changes in matching frictions cannot explain most of the increase in … unemployment. …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010370084

Against all odds : job search during the Great Recession

Leyva, Gustavo - 2018

an expected long period of unemployment make a job more valuable during recessions. I estimate the elasticity of the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011894127

Labour force participation and the business cycle in Mexico

Puigvert, Jonathan; Juárez-Torres, Miriam - 2019

This paper studies the labour force participation in Mexico between 2005 and 2018 at the aggregate level. While the ageing of the labour force produced modest reductions in the participation rate, changes in the educational level countervailed these effects for the period of study. In...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012166219

Endogenous wage indexation and aggregate shocks

Carrillo, Julio A.; Peersman, Gert; Wauters, Joris - 2013

Wage indexation practices have changed. Evidence on the U.S. for instance suggests that wages were heavily indexed to past inflation during the Great Inflation but not during the Great Moderation. However, most DSGE models assume fixed indexation parameters in wage setting, which might not be...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010206006

Inequality, income dynamics, and transitions of Mexican workers

Puggioni, Daniela; Calderón, Mariana; Cebreros, Alfonso; … - 2022

We characterize the salient features of the distribution of earnings and earnings changes of formal workers in Mexico using social security records for the period 2005-2019. We find strong evidence of deviations from normality of these distributions. Comparing the results obtained with...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013464810

Informality, labor regulation, and the business cycle

Leyva, Gustavo; Urrutia, Carlos - 2018

We analyze the joint impact of employment protection and informality on macroeconomic volatility and the propagation of shocks in emerging economies. For this, we propose a small open economy business cycle model with frictional labor markets, labor regulation, and an informal sector, modeled as...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012165940

Labor market consequences of trade openness and competition in foreign markets

Chiquiar, Daniel; Covarrubias, Enrique; Salcedo, Alejandrina - 2017

international markets to identify the effects of these events. We show that NAFTA integration reduced unemployment, and boosted …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011610177

Informal labor markets in times of pandemic: evidence for Latin America and policy options

Leyva, Gustavo; Urrutia, Carlos - 2021

We document the evolution of labor markets of five Latin American countries during the COVID-19 pandemic, with emphasis on informal employment. We show, for most countries, a slump in aggregate employment, mirrored by a fall in labor participation, and a decline in the informality rate. The...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012796814