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This chapter provides a survey of the recent work on learning in the context of macroeconomics. Learning has several … roles. First, it provides a boundedly rational model of how rational expectations can be achieved. Secondly, learning acts … as a selection device in models with multiple REE (rational expectations equilibria). Third, the learning dynamics …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014024243
equilibrium: eductive stability never obtains. This impossibility theorem has a counterpart when adaptive learning is incorporated …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011141000
under private agent learning can in some cases be stable when the observed sunspot has a suitable time series structure. In …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010986495
We study how the use of judgement or “add-factors” in macroeconomic forecasting may disturb the set of equilibrium outcomes when agents learn using recursive methods. We isolate conditions under which new phenomena, which we call exuberance equilibria, can exist in standard macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604601
under private agent learning can in some cases be stable when the observed sunspot has a suitable time series structure. In …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298274
be led to rules that generate indeterminacy and/or instability under learning. This problem is compounded by uncertainty … about structural parameters since an optimal rule that is determinate and stable under learning for one calibration may be … indeterminate or unstable under learning under a different calibration. We advocate a procedure in which policymakers restrict …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005593754
solutions under adaptive learning, focusing on "common factor" or "resonant frequency" representations in which the observed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005593762
We study how the use of judgement or "add-factors" in macroeconomic forecasting may disturb the set of equilibrium outcomes when agents learn using recursive methods. We isolate conditions under which new phenomena, which we call exuberance equilibria, can exist in standard macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005593763
We examine existence and stability under learning of sunspot equilibria in a New Keynesian model incorporating inertia …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005464106
" parameter which converges in the limit to zero. These systems have recently been used to study the dynamics of adaptive learning …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005371114