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This chapter provides a survey of the recent work on learning in the context of macroeconomics. Learning has several … roles. First, it provides a boundedly rational model of how rational expectations can be achieved. Secondly, learning acts … as a selection device in models with multiple REE (rational expectations equilibria). Third, the learning dynamics …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014024243
models of expectations formation that rely on econometric learning. Some apparently natural policy rules turn out to imply … expectational instability of private agents’ learning. We use the standard New Keynesian model to illustrate this problem and survey … learning. We then consider some practical concerns such as measurement errors in private expectations, observability of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005419689
by growth expectations. Adaptive learning dynamics determine the country-specific short-run transition paths. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009003107
by growth expectations. Adaptive learning dynamics determine country-specific short run transition paths. Countries …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009020102
models of expectations formation that rely on econometric learning. Some apparently natural policy rules turn out to imply … expectational instability of private agents’ learning. We use the standard New Keynesian model to illustrate this problem and survey … learning. We then consider some practical concerns such as measurement errors in private expectations, observability of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010552353
We study how the use of judgement or “add-factors” in forecasting may disturb the set of equilibrium outcomes when agents learn using recursive methods. We isolate conditions under which new phenomena, which we call exuberance equilibria, can exist in a standard self-referential environment....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010552405
We study how the use of judgement or “add-factors” in macroeconomic forecasting may disturb the set of equilibrium outcomes when agents learn using recursive methods. We isolate conditions under which new phenomena, which we call exuberance equilibria, can exist in standard macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604601
by growth expectations. Adaptive learning dynamics determine country-specific short run transition paths. Countries …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274930
We study how the use of judgement or "add-factors" in macroeconomic forecasting may disturb the set of equilibrium outcomes when agents learn using recursive methods. We isolate conditions under which new phenomena, which we call exuberance equilibria, can exist in standard macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005593763
" parameter which converges in the limit to zero. These systems have recently been used to study the dynamics of adaptive learning …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005371114