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We construct a multi-country affine term structure model that contains unspanned macroeconomic and foreign exchange risks. The canonical version of the model is derived and is shown to be easy to estimate. We show that it is important to impose restrictions (including global asset pricing, carry...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009492377
Global asset pricing models have failed to capture the cross section of country equity returns. Emerging markets display robust positive pricing errors and country-level characteristics play a role in pricing international equities. This paper offers a risk-based explanation for such asset...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013104550
During the global financial crisis, stressed market conditions led to skyrocketing corporate bond spreads that could not be explained by conventional modeling approaches. This paper builds on this observation and sheds light on time-variations in the relationship between systematic risk factors...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011855295
While empirical literature has documented a negative relation between default risk and stock returns, the theory suggests that default risk should be positively priced. We provide an explanation for this "default anomaly", by calculating monthly probabilities of default (PDs) for a large sample...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011861135
While empirical literature has documented a negative relation between default risk and stock returns, theory suggests that default risk should be positively priced. In this paper, we calculate monthly probabilities of default (PDs) for a large sample of European firms and break them down into...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013006759
Prior research uses the basic one-period European call-option pricing model to compute default measures for individual firms and concludes that both the size and book-to-market effects are related to default risk. For example, small firms earn higher return than big firms only if they have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012868989
The turmoil in global interbank markets in the second half of 2007 raises questions about the robustness of interbank rate fixings. A comparison of alternative fixings for similar interest rates confirms that they diverged to an unusual extent. Nevertheless, the design of fixing mechanisms...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013095299
We propose an easy to implement yield curve extrapolation method to determine long-term interest rates suitable for regulatory valuation. We empirically evaluate this approach for the German nominal bond market, by estimating the model on bonds with maturities up to 20 years and assessing the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013545943
This paper tests a conditional version of Adler and Dumas' (1983) International CAPM with regime switching GARCH parameters.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005843221
Demand is growing for a better understanding of how assets are priced in countries outside of the U.S.While financial data are available for many firms world-wide, it is important to have a reliable andreplicable method of constructing high-quality systematic risk factors from these data. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009249004