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Demand is growing for a better understanding of how assets are priced in countries outside of the U.S.While financial data are available for many firms world-wide, it is important to have a reliable andreplicable method of constructing high-quality systematic risk factors from these data. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009249004
This paper serves two purposes. First, we introduce a new data set on the German stock marketwhich is publicly available to all researchers. It comprises factor returns (a market factor, asize factor, a book-to-market factor, and a momentum factor) as well as returns of portfolioswhich are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009302626
This paper conducts a comprehensive asset pricing study based on a unique dataset for theGerman stock market. For the period 1963 to 2006 we show that value characteristics andmomentum explain the cross-section of stock returns. Corresponding factor portfolios havesignificant premiums across...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009302649
This paper examines the determinants of stock returns in a small open economy using an APT framework. The analysis is conducted for the Swiss stock market which has the particularity of including a large proportion of firms that are exposed to foreign economic conditions.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005843578
Currency mismatches in the major EMEs have been much reduced over the past decade. The development of deeper domestic bond markets has contributed greatly to this. Stresses in international markets after the failure of Lehman severely tested these new markets. There was a flight of foreign...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013091579
Recent findings on the term structure of equity and bond yields pose serious challenges to existing models of equilibrium asset pricing. This paper presents a new equilibrium model of subjective expectations to explain the joint historical dynamics of equity and bond yields (and their yield...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013193433
Some key features in the historical dynamics of U.S. Treasury bond yields-a trend in long-term yields, business cycle movements in short-term yields, and a level shift in yield spreads-pose serious challenges to existing equilibrium asset pricing models. This paper presents a new equilibrium...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012201422
Equilibrium bond-pricing models rely on inflation being bad news for future growth to generate upward-sloping nominal yield curves. We develop a model that can generate upward-sloping nominal and real yield curves by instead using ambiguity about inflation and growth. Ambiguity can help resolve...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011864574
Cochrane and Piazzesi (2005) show that (i) lagged forward rates improve the predictability of annual bond returns, adding to current forward rates, and that (ii) a Markovian model for monthly forward rates cannot generate the pattern of predictability in annual returns. These results stand as a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010344936
I provide evidence that risks in macroeconomic fundamentals contain valuable information about bond risk premia. I extract factors from a set of quantile-based risk measures estimated for US macroeconomic variables and document that they account for up to 31% of the variation in excess bond...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010478516