This paper presents a new approach to deriving default intensities from CDS or bond spreads that yields smooth intensity curves required e.g. for pricing or risk management purposes. Assuming continuous premium or coupon payments, the default intensity can be obtained by solving an integral...

In this paper we give a generalized model of the interest rates term structure including Nelson-Siegel and Svensson structure. For that we introduce a continuous m-factor exponential-polynomial form of forward interest rates and demonstrate its considerably better performance in a fitting of the...

Policy evaluation based on the estimation of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models with aggregate macroeconomic time series rests on the assumption that a representative agent can be identified, whose behavioural parameters are independent of the policy rules. Building on earlier work by...

Brief summaries and user instruction are presented for the programs TRAMO ("Time Series regression with ARIMA Noise, Missing Observations and Outlers") and SEATS ("Signal Extraction in ARIMA Time Series").

This paper presents a new approach to deriving default intensities from CDS or bond spreads that yields smooth intensity curves required e.g. for pricing or risk management purposes. Assuming continuous premium or coupon payments, the default intensity can be obtained by solving an integral...

We extend our 2003 paper on instrumental variables (IV) and GMM estimation and testing and describe enhanced routines that address HAC standard errors, weak instruments, LIML and k-class estimation, tests for endogeneity and RESET and autocorrelation tests for IV estimates.

We discuss instrumental variables (IV) estimation in the broader context of the generalized method of moments (GMM), and describe an extended IV estimation routine that provides GMM estimates as well as additional diagnostic tests. Stand-alone test procedures for heteroskedasticity,...

This study proposes a new approach to estimation of the time series properties of daily volatility in financial markets.

Indirect estimation methods are proposed for estimating univariate ARFIMA , as well as more complex multivariate VARFIMA models. Special attention is given to comparing the finite sampling properties of the indirect estimator with Sowell's (1992a) exact time domain maximum likelihood estimator...

Brief summeries and user instruction are presented for the programs TRAMO ("Time Series regression with ARIMA Noise, Missing Observations and Outlers") and SEATS ("Signal Extraction in ARIMA Time Series").