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relates average unemployment to average wage inflation; the curve is virtually vertical for high inflation rates but becomes …, at low inflation. Fourth, when inflation decreases, volatility of unemployment increases whereas the volatility of … inflation decreases: this implies a long-run trade-off also between the volatility of unemployment and that of wage inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825999
This is the sixth of a series of papers that are being written as part of a project to estimate a small quarterly Global Projection Model (GPM). The GPM project is designed to improve the toolkit to which economists have access for studying both own-country and cross-country linkages. In this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242396
-market slack is captured by the level of shortterm unemployment. This equation explains inflation behavior since 2000, including … the failure of high total unemployment since 2008 to reduce inflation greatly. The fit of our equation is especially good … general Phillips curve in which core inflation depends on short-term unemployment and on expected inflation as measured by the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242402
inflation since 2010 have led to a reevaluation of Brazil’s long-term potential growth rate. Growth accounting suggests that … dividend of a rapidly expanding labor force is fading and further structural declines in unemployment are likely to be limited …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242465
, unemployment rate by regions, consumer price inflation and CPI weights, industrial producer prices, wages, pensions and per capita … by sector, industrial employment by sector, indicators of hidden unemployment, selected labor market indicators …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242868
inflation and structural reforms aimed at stimulating growth and employment creation. Consistent with IMF recommendations, in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011243998
The staff report for the 2006 Article IV Consultation on Botswana highlights economic developments and monetary and exchange rate policy. Botswana’s growth has been fueled by continued increases in diamond production; and real diamond output is projected to level off, and then decline...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011244994
Estonia has succeeded in reducing its macroeconomic imbalances and vulnerabilities, but faces the challenge of preserving its hard-earned fiscal and financial stability and enhancing long-term growth prospects. In this regard, adopting a fully fledged medium-term fiscal framework can help assess...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011245026
This paper on Romania was prepared by a staff team of the International Monetary Fund as background documentation for the periodic consultation with the member country. It is based on the information available at the time it was completed on September 13, 2012. The views expressed in this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011245066
the analysis, and demonstrates how to decompose the output gap into contributions of observed data on output, inflation …, unemployment, and other variables. A simple bar-chart of contributing factors, in the case of multi-variable methods, sharpens the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790260