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forecasting volatility model with the most appropriate error distribution. The results suggest the presence of leverage effect … forecasting model that could guarantee a sound policy decisions. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011489480
ability (SPA) test, we evaluate and compare their forecasting performance at short and long horizons. The empirical results …. However, the new MSM model comes out as the model that most often across forecasting horizons and subsamples cannot be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010488966
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This paper reports a study on the causal dynamics between spot oil price, exchange rates, and stock prices in Poland, the Czech Republic, Hungary, Romania, and Serbia. The results are compared with a benchmark analysis in which U.S. monthly data are used, and time periods are selected according...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011854772
This paper analyses mutual causalities between crude oil price and euro / US dollar exchange rate. Instead of focusing on long-run macroeconomic linkages like the bulk of the relevant literature takes a financial markets perspective using daily data. The fast-running simultaneousimpacts are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003727689
In this study, we investigate the relationship between stock market price and crude oil market price using Multivariate GARCH type model. We use daily frequency data of stock price indices S&P500 and NASDAQ composite and the prices of one major Crude Oil products, defined as the US price of West...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012990701
We use volatility impulse response analysis estimated from the bivariate GARCH-BEKK model to quantify the size and the persistence of different types of oil price shocks on stock return volatility and the covariance between oil price changes and stock returns for a wide range of net...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012897925
Using a modified DCC-MIDAS specification, we endogenize the long-term correlation between crude oil and stock price returns with respect to the stance of the U.S. macroeconomy. We find that variables that contain information on current and future economic activity are helpful predictors of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013066427
We analyze total, asymmetric and frequency connectedness between oil and forex markets using high-frequency, intra-day data over the period 2007 - 2017. By employing variance decompositions and their spectral representation in combination with realized semivariances to account for asymmetric and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012035050