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The estimation of parameters in nonlinear, implicit measurement error models with experiment-wide measurements
Anderson, K.K. - 2008
Measurement error modeling is a statistical approach to the estimation of unknown model parameters which takes into account the measurement errors in all of the data. Approaches which ignore the measurement errors in so-called independent variables may yield inferior estimates of unknown model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009435461
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A computer model for analyzing low-yield threshold test ban treaties
Bradford, R.M.; Sokkappa, P.R. - 2008
components are: cavity decoupling, verification effectiveness, probability of missed violation, probability of false accusation … uncertainty inherent in the treaty verification process. It helps the user gain insights into the interactions among monitoring … makers with rational, defensible analyses, which can be used as input when making important treaty and verification decisions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009436599
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Quotas for CFE Treaty declared site inspections for baseline validation
Strait, R.S.; Sicherman, A. - 2008
are: Desired probabilities of detecting a violation and of falsely accusing WTO; Trade-off between improved verification …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009435974
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Minimum risk trigger indices
Tingey, F.H. - 2008
extreme strategic sinificance, there remains the task of balancing the probability of false alarm and its consequences against … the probability of undetected loss and its consequences. The application of other than classical hypothesis testing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009435678
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1991 Annual report on scientific programs: A broad research program on the sciences of complexity
2008
1991 was continued rapid growth for the Santa Fe Institute (SFI) as it broadened its interdisciplinary research into the organization, evolution and operation of complex systems and sought deeply the principles underlying their dynamic behavior. Research on complex systems--the focus of work at...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009436710
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Methods for developing and validating survivability distributions
Williams, R.L. - 2008
A previous report explored and discussed statistical methods and procedures that may be applied to validate the survivability of a complex system of systems that cannot be tested as an entity. It described a methodology where Monte Carlo simulation was used to develop the system survivability...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009435451
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R&D for computational cognitive and social models : foundations for model evaluation through verification and validation (final LDRD report).
Slepoy, Alexander; Mitchell, Scott A.; Backus, George A.; … - 2009
model verification and validation, uncertainty quantification, and decision making. We present a framework that extends the … decision makers. This report provides an assessment of our thinking on ASC Verification and Validation, and argues for further …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009436233
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Uncertainty vs. Interindividual variability
Bogen, K.T. - 2008
characterization of both population and individual risk. Finally, a simple form of discrete probability calculus is proposed as an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009436588
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Forecasting urban highway travel for year 2005
Miaou, Shaw-Pin; Rathi, A.K.; Southworth, F.; Greene, D.L. - 2008
As part of a study aimed at estimating suburban highway needs for year 2005, models were developed for forecasting daily vehicle miles of travel (DVMT) for urban areas and its distribution by highway functional class, urban location, and urban area size. A regression model combining both time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009435975
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Technology trends in econometric energy models: Ignorance or information
Boyd, G.; Kokkelenberg, E.; Ross, M. - 2008
Simple time trend variables in factor demand models can be statistically powerful variables, but may tell the researcher very little. Even more complex specification of technical change, e.g. factor biased, are still the economentrician's measure of ignorance'' about the shifts that occur in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009435383