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Reduced reliance on cash market prices for fed cattle and hogs raise questions about the role of cash prices in price discovery. We use seven years of weekly data from mandatory price reports to determine whether or not cash market prices are cointegrated with other procurement prices and then...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008922567
the market. Thus, there does not seem to be a great need for producers to hire a market advisor to do their marketing for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005807438
Returns to managed futures funds and Commodity Trading Advisors (CTAs) have decreased dramatically during the last several years. Since these funds overwhelmingly use technical analysis, this research examines futures prices to determine if there is evidence of a structural change in futures...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005807441
The inaccuracy of the Black-Scholes formula arises from two aspects: the formula is for European options while most real option contracts are American; the formula is based on the assumption that underlying asset prices follow a lognormal distribution while in the real world asset prices cannot...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005807877
This study compares liquidity costs and other characteristics of electronic and open outcry hard red winter wheat futures contracts traded on the Kansas City Board of Trade. Liquidity costs are considerably lower in the electronic market than in the open outcry market. A new approach is used to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008922444
Futures prices when combined with a basis forecast provide a reliable way to forecast cash prices. The most popular method of forecasting basis is historical moving averages. Given the recent failure of longer moving averages proposed by previous studies, this research reassesses past...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009368378
Nonfarm investors might benefit from diversifying their portfolios by investing in the agricultural sector. Such diversifying investments could include investments in agricultural stocks or long-only futures positions through index funds. The papers in this session investigate the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010880438
paper first measures the extent to which producers display an active or mechanical marketing style using individual farmer … sales. Next, tests of performance persistence are conducted to determine if there is any advantage to an active marketing … style. The results show that southern Oklahoma wheat producers tend to have a mechanical marketing style, while at other …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009442970
The inaccuracy of the Black-Scholes formula arises from two aspects: the formula is for European options while most real option contracts are American; the formula is based on the assumption that underlying asset prices follow a lognormal distribution while in the real world asset prices cannot...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009443000
Hedging in the live cattle futures market has largely been viewed as a method of reducing producer's price over a rather lengthy production period (three to six months). Meat packers and processors also face price risk. However, packers' and processors' price risk lies on the upside (i.e., risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005522763