A healthy financial system encourages the efficient allocation of capital and risk. The collapse of the house price bubble led to the financial crisis that started in 2007. There is a large empirical literature concerning the relation between asset price bubbles and financial crises. I evaluate...

Most financial and investment decisions are based on considerations of possible future changes and require forecasts on the evolution of the financial world. Time series and processes are the natural tools for describing the dynamic behavior of financial data, leading to the required forecasts....

I offer a selective review of discounting and climate policy. Analytic and numerical models show that different assumptions greatly change the degree to which decisions about climate policy depend on the discount rate. I discuss a claim that standard models exaggerate the current generation's...

Die jüngste Wirtschaftskrise hat vor Augen geführt, dass eine proaktive Vorausschau auf zukünttige Risiken und deren Berücksichtigung in den unternehmerischen Führungsprozessen von existenzieller Bedeutung ist. Für Industrieunternehmen gestaltet sich dies aufgrund des hohen Anteils nur...