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The volatility of unanticipated output growth in income per capita is detrimental to long-run development, controlling for initial income per capita, population growth, human capital, investment, openness and natural resource dependence. This effect is significant and robust over a wide range of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005106643
of inflation on growth and economic welfare. It is shown that the traditional approach to measure the welfare costs of … inflation may be misleading: It ignores the costs or benefits of the transition to the new steady state. This omission may bias … estimates of the total welfare gains to be achieved by reducing inflation and of the optimal degree of disinflation. It is also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005021865
of inflation on growth and economic welfare. It is shown that the traditional approach to measure the welfare costs of … inflation may be misleading: It ignores the costs or benefits of the transition to the new steady state. This omission may bias … into account, the welfare gains of lowering inflation depend on the monetary policy rule and the fiscal response to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005021894
This paper examines whether the clarity of central bank communication about inflation has changed with the economic … environment. We use readability statistics and content analysis to study the clarity of communication on the inflation outlook by … explaining their policies when faced with higher uncertainty or a less favorable inflation outlook. The global financial crisis …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009393909
This paper examines robust estimators of core inflation for Belgian historical CPI data, and for euro area Harmonised … outperform the traditional core inflation measures found in the literature. However, as traditional measures, they lag rather … than lead observed inflation. This was particularly so in the 70s and the 80s when the oil price shocks had substantial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004970717
of inflation risks. The empirical application shows that trading off monetary and macroprudential policy reduces the … overall costs related to inflation and financial instability. This can be achieved by changing the preferences of the central … bank, lengthening the monetary policy horizon and by a more flexible inflation target. Estimation results of a probit model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008468098
prices thereafter. Notwithstanding clear evidence of forward-lookingness, inflation persistence is substantial in both …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005106636
We find that regional inflation dispersion has not markedly increased since the start of EMU, although it is somewhat … higher than in other monetary unions (US and Germany), and that the distribution of member states' rates of inflation around … the euro area HICP inflation rate is characterised by a few outliers. In addition, an analysis based on economic weights …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005106750
Recently, it has often been argued that globalization eases the job of central banks as it helps to tame inflation …-Treaty) could or should reduce their efforts in the fight against inflation in favour of supporting the general economic policies of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005106786
We provide new insights on the formation of inflation expectations - in particular at a time of great financial and … answered a weekly questionnaire about their short-, medium- and long-term inflation expectations. Participants received common … information sets with data relevant to euro area inflation. Our analysis of survey responses reveals several interesting results …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008861749