Showing 1 - 10 of 327
Drawing upon recent contributions in the statistical literature, we present a new result on the convergence of recursive, stochastic algorithms which can be applied to economic models with learning. The formal result provides probability bounds for convergence which can be used to describe the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014079480
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013408084
We consider an endogenous growth model with international trade in complementary capital goods. The model possesses several distinct, balanced growth solutions, which we classify using stability under adaptive learning. Some of the equilibria can involve growth rates much higher than others. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014113700
This paper considers the performance of average inflation targeting (AIT) policy in a New Keynesian model with adaptive … inflation targeting policy. Policymakers can improve outcomes under AIT by (i) targeting a discounted average of inflation, or …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013232133
Using New Keynesian models, we compare Friedman's k-percent money supply rule to optimal interest rate setting, with respect to determinacy, stability under learning and optimality. We first review the recent literature. Open-loop interest rate rules are subject to indeterminacy and instability...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014075700
A fundamentals based monetary policy rule, which would be the optimal monetary policy without commitment when private agents have perfectly rational expectations, is unstable if in fact these agents follow standard adaptive learning rules. This problem can be overcome if private expectations are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014075826
In this paper we consider inflation and government debt dynamics when monetary policy employs a global interest rate … interest rate rules are known to imply the existence of a second, low inflation steady state, below the target inflation rate … this low inflation steady state and is driven to an even lower inflation floor which, in turn, is supported by a switch to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014048589
A fundamentals based monetary policy rule, which would be the optimal monetary policy without commitment when private agents have perfectly rational expectations, is unstable if in fact these agents follow standard adaptive learning rules. This problem can be overcome if private expectations are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014134547
A fundamentals based monetary policy rule, which would be the optimal monetary policy without commitment when private agents have perfectly rational expectations, is unstable if in fact these agents follow standard adaptive learning rules. This problem can be overcome if private expectations are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014114944
We review the recent work on interest rate setting, which emphasizes the desirability of designing policy to ensure stability under private agent learning. Appropriately designed expectations based rules can yield optimal rational expectations equilibria that are both determinate and stable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014089471