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Policy uncertainty, trade, and global value chains : some facts, many questions

Constantinescu, Cristina; Mattoo, Aaditya; Ruta, Michele - 2019

This paper attempts to quantify the impact of economic policy uncertainty on overall trade and trade linked to global value chains. Using new data on policy uncertainty for 18 countries and 24 years, it finds a statistically significant negative impact of policy uncertainty on overall trade...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012167789

Jordan Economic Monitor, Fall 2017 : Towards Stronger External Trade Performance

World Bank Group - 2017

Jordan's economic performance remains tempered in 2017 while the fiscal adjustment is in progress; yet there are positive signs on the horizon. Real GDP growth for 2017 is expected to reach 2.1 percent, just a 0.1 percentage point (pp) increase from 2016. On the supply side, services continue to...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012644964

Moral hazard vs. land scarcity : flood management policies for the real world

Avner, Paolo; Hallegatte, Stéphane - 2019

, zoning, and subsidized insurance - in an urban economics framework that takes land scarcity into account. In a theoretical …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012114423

The State of Economics, the State of the World

Basu, Kaushik - 2016

the World," is an idiosyncratic stocktaking of the trajectory of economics from Adam Smith to contemporary times, with … special attention to the rise of development economics. Given the challenges faced by the global economy in recent times, and … especially since 2008, it is time for a serious evaluation of economics for policy making. The paper comments on some potential …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012245758

The Pulse of Public Opinion : Using Twitter Data to Analyze Public Perception of Reform in El Salvador

Seabold, Skipper - 2015

This study uses Twitter data to provide a more nuanced understanding of the public reaction to the 2011 reform to the propane gas subsidy in El Salvador. By soliciting a small sample of manually tagged tweets, the study identifies the subject matter and sentiment of all tweets during six...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012245898

Formulas for Failure? Were the Doha Tariff Formulas too Ambitious for Success?

Laborde, David - 2015

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012246105

Trade integration and growth : evidence from Sub-Saharan Africa

Calderón, César A.; Cantú, Catalina - 2019

This paper examines the growth effects of different dimensions of international trade integration-notably, volume, diversification, and natural resource dependence-in Sub-Saharan Africa. First, the paper documents the recent trends in these foreign trade dimensions for the region and the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012051790

Small African economies in a more uncertain global trade environment : the potential impact of post-AGOA scenarios for Lesotho

Maliszewska, Maryla; Engel, Jakob; Arenas, Guillermo; … - 2019

This paper provides a forward-looking view of trade and its relevance for Lesotho's medium- and long-term development. It does this through computable general equilibrium analysis of potential impacts based on specific trade-related scenarios. The scenarios include the potential loss of American...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012051803

Is 3D printing a threat to global trade? : the trade effects you didn’t hear about : World Development Report 2020 background paper

Freund, Caroline L.; Mulabdic, Alen; Ruta, Michele - 2019

In the mid-2000s, the production of hearing aids shifted almost entirely to 3D printing. Using difference-in-differences and synthetic control methods, this paper examines the effects of this shift on trade flows. The analysis finds that trade increased roughly 60 percent following the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012121158

Global recessions

Kose, M. Ayhan; Sugawara, Naotaka; Terrones, Marco E. - 2020

The world economy has experienced four global recessions over the past seven decades: in 1975, 1982, 1991, and 2009. During each of these episodes, annual real per capita global gross domestic product contracted, and this contraction was accompanied by weakening of other key indicators of global...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012230745

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