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inflation rates mainly to make up for, and to perhaps exploit, lagging internal and external liberalization in their economies … changes in institutions, suggest that incentives may be diminishing, but not to the point where inflation levels below 5 … inflation, and enhancements to central bank independence could help shield these central banks from pressures. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260603
Why is inflation, 15 years after transition started, still considerably higher in Romania than in the eight EU member … decompose the inflation differential between Romania and the EU-8. The decomposition suggests that neither the revenue, nor the … balance of payments, nor the financial stability motive are driving inflation; rather structural differences are at play. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003446533
Why is inflation, 15 years after transition started, still considerably higher in Romania than in the eight EU member … decompose the inflation differential between Romania and the EU-8. The decomposition suggests that neither the revenue, nor the … balance of payments, nor the financial stability motive are driving inflation; rather structural differences are at play. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005076118
The study provides estimates of the threshold level of inflation for Russia based on panel threshold models. This paper …’s aim is to estimate the «optimal» level of inflation and to determine the number of thresholds for Russia within, unlike … ratio test to verify which model specification is optimal. The results indicate that the target inflation rate of 4% in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014095836
In this paper, we examine whether domestic or global output gap affects inflation in three panels: the European Union … inflation in individual countries of the European Union. To find the determinants of inflation, we employ the Granger causality … show that after the crisis the global output gap predicts the evolution of inflation in the Eurozone panel. On the other …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014464251
long-run interest rates and inflation expectations into account. We find a strong connection between oil prices and long … strong relationship if inflation and oil prices were driven by monetary policy. The observed magnitude of this relationship …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276912
We examine both the degree and the structural stability of inflation persistence at different quantiles of the … conditional inflation distribution. Previous research focused exclusively on persistence at the conditional mean of the inflation … higher inflation persistence at the upper than at the lower tail of the conditional inflation distribution. Based on post …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010281472
In this paper, it is analyzed whether core money growth helps to predict future inflation in a useful and reliable way … information not contained in the inflation history, that its inclusion in a forecasting model can increase the forecasting … accuracy, and that it has had a strong and stable long-run link to inflation over the last decades. A particularly promising …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260569
We examine both the degree and the structural stability of inflation persistence at different quantiles of the … conditional inflation distribution. Previous research focused exclusively on persistence at the conditional mean of the inflation … higher inflation persistence at the upper than at the lower tail of the conditional inflation distribution. Based on post …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009413308
We examine both the degree and the structural stability of inflation persis tence at different quantiles of the … conditional inflation distribution. Previous research focused exclusively on persistence at the conditional mean of the inflation … higher inflation persistence at the upper than at the lower tail of the conditional inflation distribution. Based on post …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010392191