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expectations. -- global games ; complementarities ; signaling ; self-fulfilling expectations ; multiple equilibria ; currency …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003779286
This paper studies the interaction between monetary and fiscal authorities while investors are coordinating on a speculative attack. The authorities want to achieve specific targets for output and inflation but also to avoid a regime change (i.e. sovereign default). They use the traditional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013072609
Global games of regime change – coordination games of incomplete information in which a status quo is abandoned once a sufficiently large fraction of agents attacks it – have been used to study crises phenomena such as currency attacks, bank runs, debt crises, and political change. We extend...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008665284
How does public and private information affect equilibrium and welfare in an economy with investment complementarities … complementarities are weak so that the equilibrium is always unique, an increase in the precision of public information increases the … from a social perspective. On the other hand, when complementarities are strong enough that multiple equilibria are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014073397
In this note we sketch a dynamic framework within which the discussion on the macroeconomic effects of climate change take place. The problem setting is characterized by scientific uncertainties about the development of climate, potential large economic losses and human beings having their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014168816
Our purpose in this paper is to unify international trade and finance in a single general equilibrium model. Our model is rich enough to include multiple commodities (including traded and nontraded goods), heterogeneous consumers in each country, multiple time periods, multiple credit markets,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014126876
The world's major money printers are in trouble. The debt-based monetary architecture is going through serious stress. The recent banking and sovereign debt crises are systemic symptoms indicating an upcoming and unavoidable change in money creation methodology. This paper addresses the key...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013059812
commitment to peg is strengthened. That the insurance scheme serves as a commitment device renders it an ineffective signaling …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013291933
When do flexible exchange rates prevent monetary and financial conditions from spilling over across currencies? We examine a model in which international investors strategically supply capital to a small inflation-targeting economy with flexible exchange rates. For some combination of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011856706
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002114565