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The chief objective of our paper is to highlight basic features of the IT policies adopted by Indonesia and Thailand, and to evaluate their overall performances. These economies have seen their inflation rates to decline during the post-IT period, and pass-through rates for both tradable and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010904302
Central to the conduct of monetary policy are inflation forecasts. Inflation forecast are not unique. Central banks and professional organizations generate inflation forecasts while households are surveyed about their inflation outlook. This paper estimates inflation forecast disagreement for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011201607
One way of evaluating how well monetary authorities perform is to provide the public with a regular and independent second opinion. The European Central Bank (ECB) and the Bank of England (BoE) are shadowed by professional and academic economists who provide a separate policy rate recommendation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010693088
We examine policy rate recommendations of the Bank of Canada’s Governing Council (GC) and its shadow, the C.D. Howe Institute’s Monetary Policy Council (MPC). Individual recommendations of the MPC are observed but not those of the GC. Differences in the two committee’s recommendations are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010860362
Using voting data from the Bank of England, we show that different individual assessments of the economy strongly influence votes after controlling for individual policy preferences. We estimate that internal members form more precise assessments than externals and are also more hawkish, though...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011186042
We prove that the Generalized Taylor Principle, under which the nominal interest rate reacts more than one-for-one to inflation in the long run, is a necessary and (under some extra mild restrictions on parameters) sufficient condition for determinacy in a sticky price model with positive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010904268
Words are critical in how the public perceives the work of central banks and the quality of monetary policy. Press releases that accompany policy rate decisions and, where available, the minutes of central bank committee meetings, are focal points for the media in public discussions about the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010904274
Rising economic integration in Asia and periodic volatility in global and national financial markets raise the issue of the optimal degree and form of monetary cooperation among Asian economies. There is a large literature on the benefits and costs of monetary cooperation, however, less can be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010904342
This article examines the performance of inflation targeters during the 2007-2012 downturn compared to those without this policy. Propensity score matching methods are used to compare the policy regimes, where during a downturn the more successful policy results in higher inflation and output...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010938592
Using the Structural Vector Autoregression (SVAR) method this paper analyses the effects of monetary policy on Tajikistan’s economy for the period 1996 to 2003. A number of restrictions are imposed and the contemporaneous and long-run restrictions model are used to identify the dynamic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005464931