Showing 1 - 10 of 334
In a classical article, Granger (1966) argued that the levels of most economic time series have spectra that exhibit a smooth declining shape with considerable power at very low frequencies. He termed it "the typical spectral shape of an economic variable." Granger's assertion has not been...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005412862
This papers finds evidence of fractional integration for a number of monthly ex post real interest rate series using the GPH semiparametric estimator on data from fourteen European countries and the US. However, we pose empirical questions on certain time series requirements that emerge from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005407898
In this paper we apply compactly supported wavelets to the ARFIMA(p,d,q) long-memory process to develop an alternative maximum likelihood estimator of the differencing parameter, d, that is invariant to the unknown mean and model specification, and to the level of contamination. We show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005407968
We analyze by simulation the properties of two time domain and two frequency domain estimators for low order autoregressive fractionally integrated moving average Gaussian models, ARFIMA (p,d,q). The estimators considered are the exact maximum likelihood for demeaned data, EML, the associated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005119109
We study the asymptotic behaviour of frequency domain maximum likelihood estimators of mis-specified models of long memory Gaussian series. We show that even if the long memory structure of the time series is correctly specified, mis-specification of the short memory dynamics may result in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005556354
We develop an ordinary least squares estimator of the long memory parameter from a fractionally integrated process that is an alternative to the Geweke Porter-Hudak estimator. Using the wavelet transform from a fractionally integrated process, we establish a log-linear relationship between the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005407950
A common finding in the empirical literature is that financial volatility exhibits high persistence, or slow mean … reversion of the order of months. We present evidence that financial volatility data contains more than a single time scale … realistic ranges for stock-price volatility we obtain global estimates close to integration while the average data- generating …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005119104
, using a bivariate SWARCH model to show the dependence of the high and low volatility states of the IT.CAC on the NASDAQ-100 …, with no intermediate simultaneous high-low volatility states. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005556399
This paper addresses the question if there are differences between time patterns in the volatility of investment across … conjectured, GARCH effects play an important role in some sectors but are not significant in others. Astonishingly, the volatility … determining investment volatility than the macroeconomic environment. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005561184
financial instruments in the portfolio and on the volatility of those returns.This task is relatively simple if the correlations … and volatilities do not change over time.But in reality both volatility and stock market indexes’ correlations do change …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124892