Can a temporary negative shock generate long-lasting effects on economic activities? To show causal evidence, we utilize data from Japanese multinational corporations (MNCs) and explore the economic impact of the unexpected escalation of an island dispute between China and Japan in 2012. Our...

This study utilizes a time-varying parameter Bayesian vector autoregressive model to investigate the dynamic interactions between geopolitical risk (GPR) and renewable energy consumption growth (RECG). The identification strategy is flexible to accommodate cases both with and without sign...

This study investigates the impact of the Russian-Ukraine war on the tail risk connectedness among G7 stock markets using a TVP-VAR frequency connectedness approach and a number of robustness testing procedures. Such work focuses on the dynamics of tail risk connectedness both during the...