Bayesian methodology for estimating factor risk premia and hence equity risk premia for both traded and non-traded factors …

Bayesian statistical methods are naturally oriented towards pooling in a rigorous way information from separate sources … volatility or options prices. We develop a formal Bayesian framework where we can merge the backward looking information as … forecasting options prices out of sample (i.e. one-day ahead) our Bayesian estimators outperform standard forecasts that use …