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We estimate a three-region (DE-REA-RoW) structural macroeconomic model, and we provide a counterfactual on how nominal exchange rate flexibility would have affected the German trade balance (TB) by simulating the shocks of the estimated model under a counterfactual flexible exchange rate regime....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011983671
In this paper we investigate the impact of the euro integration process on the drivers of FDI inflows. We show … bilateral gravity models of FDI inflows into euro area countries, we show that the euro facilitates intra-euro area vertical FDI … countries located outside the monetary union increase. Such flows are however not more likely be directed towards euro area …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011999066
All explorations of the future of the Euro show serious risks for its survival in the present form. The road map of the … Five EU Presidents presented in 2015 is far from sufficient to reduce the risks of the Euro zone falling apart by Brexit … risk of the Euro‐area falling apart in a chaotic way, through further divergence in labor productivity, through new Banking …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011582732
studies examining the effect of euro on bilateral trade and we found that publication bias in this area of research is … diminishing. This study finds the effect of euro on bilateral trade to be between 2 and 6%. Using meta regression we conclude that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011568610
Should we blame the euro for widening of current account deficits in the EMU? In this paper, we employ time … of the euro. Our aim is to assess to what extent the increased current account deficits could be attributed to the single … currency and to the role of other variables, especially fiscal policy and developments of financial sector. We show that euro …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010429941
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011301211
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011290036
of history confirm the stability of the euro as a single currency in the region and it is seen as a great achievement of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012212663
In this paper, sound public finances under the euro means sustainability in the long term instead of short- and medium …-term fiscal discipline. The challenges to sustainability are identified for the four largest euro area member states, and several … resort for a euro area government under liquidity shortage to prevent it from developing into a general financial crisis …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012238506
How do trade costs affect international trade? This paper offers a new approach. We rely on a flexible gravity equation that predicts variable trade cost elasticities, both across and within country pairs. We apply this framework to the effect of currency unions on international trade. While we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011867116