Showing 1 - 10 of 19,540
This paper employs an applied econometric study concerning forecasting spot prices in bulk shipping in both markets of tankers and bulk carriers in a disaggregated level. This research is essential, as spot market is one of the most volatile markets and there is a great uncertainty about the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010486463
This paper studies a smooth-transition (ST) type cointegration. The proposed ST cointegration allows for regime switching structure in a cointegrated system, and nests the linear cointegration developed by Engle and Granger (1987) and the threshold cointe- gration studied by Balke and Fomby...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012654376
This paper studies a special class of vector smooth-transition autoregressive (VS- TAR) models containing common nonlinear features (CNFs). To test the existence of CNFs in a VSTAR model, a triangular representation for such a system containing CNFs is proposed. A procedure of testing CNFs in a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012654377
Hedge Fund returns are often highly serially correlated mainly due to illiquidity exposures given that investments in such securities tend to be inactively traded and associated market prices are not always readily available. Following that, observed returns of such alternative investments tend...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013118101
We extend the work done in our “Redux” paper from Oct 2011 to find a weighted composite U.S coincident economic index (CEI) that includes non-zero weightings from all 50 states and when used in a standard Probit model, produces a perfect correlation (R2 of 1) to NBER recession dating. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013118636
Classical quantitative finance models such as the Geometric Brownian Motion or its later extensions such as local or stochastic volatility models do not make sense when seen from a physics-based perspective, as they are all equivalent to a negative mass oscillator with a noise. This paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012826182
This paper presents a tractable model of non-linear dynamics of market returns using a Langevin approach.Due to non-linearity of an interaction potential, the model admits regimes of both small and large return fluctuations. Langevin dynamics are mapped onto an equivalent quantum mechanical (QM)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013251128
This paper presents an analytically tractable and practically-oriented model of non-linear dynamics of a multi-asset market in the limit of a large number of assets. The asset price dynamics are driven by money flows into the market from external investors, and their price impact. This leads to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013294125
Our paper empirically examines how the decision to purchase private insurance and hospitalization are made based on household income, socio-demographic factors, and private health insurance factors in both Japan and the USA. Using these two data-sets, we found some similarities and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011559113
The Least-Squares Monte Carlo model (LSM model) has emerged as the derivative valuation technique with the greatest impact in current practice. As with other options valuation models, the LSM algorithm was initially posited in the field of financial derivatives and its extension to the realm of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011988695