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There has been a revival of interest in the effect of risk on economic growth. We quantify both ex ante and ex post … effects of risk using a stochastic version of the Ramsey model. We develop a simulation-based econometric methodology which … remarkable long-running panel data set for rural households in Zimbabwe. We find that risk substantially reduces growth: in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011334326
Most measures of vulnerability are a-theoretic and essentially static. In this paper we use a stochastic Ramsey model to find a household's optimal welfare and we measure vulnerability as the shortfall from the welfare attained if the household consumed permanently at the poverty line. The...
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pivotal role of risk attitudes and the schooling gradient of earnings risk. We use Spanish data to document the gradient and … to estimate individual response to earnings risk in deciding on attending university education, by measuring risk as the … risk aversion, the response may be reversed to positive. …
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construction of reliablesemi-parametric estimates of the risk associated with extreme pricemovements. Our approach is based on semi …
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We assess the predictive ability of 15 economic uncertainty measures in a real-time out-of-sample forecasting exercise for the quantiles of The Conference Board's coincident economic index and its components (industrial production, employment, personal income, and manufacturing and trade sales)....
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