Search Results - subject_exact:"Aggregate production"

The survey-based output gap and input gap

Kamada, Koichiro - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015616966

A simple method for estimating multiple natural rates simultaneously : estimation of Japan's potential output and natural foreign exchange rate

Kamada, Koichiro - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015616967

The impact of greenhouse gas emissions on GDP per capita : a multi-scale analysis using the wavelet approach

Ouattara, Kifory; Gniza, Daniel Innocent - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015617058

International comparison program : 2021 cycle in Latin America and the Caribbean : methodological document and main results

De Camino, Claudia; Infante, Lady Viviana - 2026

Comparison of economies is essential for public policymaking but considerably hindered by the fact that statistics expressed in local currencies are not directly comparable. Market exchange rates give a distorted view, as they do not reflect the differences in price levels between countries.To...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015617258

A method for the gender disaggregation of Okun's law

Boďa, Martin; Tichá, Michaela - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015654391

Forecasting Kazakhstan's GDP based on a dynamic factor model with regularization

Akhmet, Alisher - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015609234

Monetary policy and the output gap in DSGE models for small open economies : insights from the Czech Republic

Šestořád, Tomáš; Vlček, Jan; Musil, Karel - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015610401

Nowcasting GDP Growth for Kenya

Danov, Nikolay - 2026

This paper develops a nowcasting model to produce timely estimates of quarterly GDP growth for Kenya. Nowcasting combines official monthly indicators with digital transaction data. Exploiting strong comovement of macroeconomic time series, a few latent factors summarize aggregate dynamics and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015612596

Is British Columbia headed towards another lost decade?

Di Matteo, Livio - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015613526

A measure of care : how countries strive to move beyond GDP and capture the value of invisible work

Bizikova, Livia; Atiq, Hajra; D'Alessandre, Vanessa; … - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015613980

Using subjective well-being as a headline indicator in dashboards to track human progress

Burger, Martijn J.; Courchesne, Sarah; Greyling, Talita; … - 2026

Gross Domestic Product (GDP) has long been used as a proxy for human progress, despite growing recognition of its limitations. Recently, numerous "beyond GDP" initiatives have emerged, promoting multidimensional dashboards to assess quality of life. However, these often lack a clear headline...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015615393

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Using subjective well-being as a headline indicator in dashboards to track human progress

Burger, Martijn J.; Courchesne, Sarah; Greyling, Talita; … - 2026

Book / Working Paper

Understanding the inflation-output relationship across business cycle phases

Cardamone, Dario; De Santis, Roberto A. - 2026

We examine the state dependence of monetary policy transmission and the parameters of the Phillips curve, dynamic IS equation, and Taylor rule across four regimes defined by joint deviations of inflation from the Federal Reserve's target and output from potential. The analysis uncovers important...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015592690

The output convergence debate revisited : lessons from recent developments in the analysis of panel data models

Pesaran, M. Hashem; Smith, Ron - 2026

This paper provides a critical examination of the empirical basis of the output convergence debate in the light of recent developments in the analysis of dynamic heterogeneous panels with interactive effects. It shows that popular tools such as Barro's cross-country regressions and two-way fixed...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015597151

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The output convergence debate revisited : lessons from recent developments in the analysis of panel data models

Pesaran, M. Hashem; Smith, Ron - 2026

Book / Working Paper

Real-time nowcasting of Kyiv's regional GRP using Google trends and mixed-frequency data

Drin, Svitlana; Zhuravlova, Anastasiia - 2026

imely assessment of regional economic activity in Ukraine is severely constrained by institutional and data-related limitations. Official regional gross regional product (GRP) statistics are available only at low frequency, are published with substantial delays, and, in the post-2022 period, are...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015589819

Beyond GDP : the case for a real-time barometer of economic activity in South Africa

Fourie, Helanya; Fourie, Johan - 2026

This paper makes the case for measuring economic activity in real time in a middle-income setting using indicators alternative to the standard System of National Accounts measure of gross domestic product (GDP). GDP remains indispensable, yet its limits as a welfare proxy are amplified where...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015580310

Estimating the New Keynesian Phillips Curve in Vietnam

Hung, Trinh Phuc; Vasilev, Aleksandar - 2026

This research aimed to identify existence of a New Keynesian Phillips Curve in Vietnam. The examined period was 2012Q2 - 2025Q2, using secondary macroeconomics data and the Generalised Moments Method at 95% level of confidence. The dependent variables were price inflation and wage inflation,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015604707

Oligopolistic output markets

Aspremont, Claude d'; Dos Santos Ferreira, Rodolphe - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015605533

Sectoral and aggregate effects of supply chain disruptions in a small open economy

Friesenbichler, Klaus S.; Glocker, Christian; Hölzl, Werner - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015672770

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Sectoral and aggregate effects of supply chain disruptions in a small open economy

Friesenbichler, Klaus S.; Glocker, Christian; Hölzl, Werner - 2026

Book / Working Paper

Impact of capping emissions on macroeconomic volatility : the case of Saudi Arabia

Galeottib, Marzio; Manzanoc, Baltasar; Pierru, Axel - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015637816

Empirical assessment of budget multipliers for current and capital expenditures in Kazakhstan

Bukenov, Аmantay - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015638644

Monetary policy transmission mechanism in post-communist economies : evidence from Uzbekistan

Davlatov, Elyor; Sági, Judit - 2026

This study aims to evaluate the transmission mechanisms of monetary policy in a post-communist economy using structural vector autoregression (SVAR) model. We constructed two SVAR models employing both recursive and non-recursive approaches to identify monetary policy shocks and analyze how...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015639750

Inadequacy of revenues and endogenous economic cycles in a monetary economy of production

Cottin-Euziol, Edouard; Piluso, Nicolas - 2026

The recurring cycles of economic activity in a capitalist economy have prompted a variety of explanations. Some of these focus on the excessive indebtedness of economic agents during a growth phase, which may result from overly optimistic behavior or excessive risk-taking. From a post-Keynesian...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015650708

Unraveling the time-series dynamics between aggregate earnings and GDP

Gallo, Lindsey A.; Jin, Hengda; Sridharan, Suhas A. - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015651783

Konjunkturprognose Deutschland, Sommer 2026

Berlemann, Michael; Hinze, Jörg - 2026

Nach gutem Start der deutschen Wirtschaft in dieses Jahr hinein haben sich seit Ende Februar durch den Irankrieg, insbesondere durch die Sperrung der Straße von Hormus und der damit verbundenen Energieverteuerung, die Perspektiven für Wachstum und Inflation deutlich verschlechtert. Die...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015652574

Economic output under a warming climate : non-linear damage effects and adaptive capacity in OECD countries

Erkişi, Kemal; Sarıtaş, Başak - 2026

This study examines the long-run effects of temperature anomalies on economic output in OECD countries, with a focus on non-linear damage patterns and the mitigating role of adaptive capacity. Using annual data for 38 OECD economies over 1995-2024, the analysis estimates panel models with...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015653672

Interpolation and prewar-postwar output volatility and shock-persistence debate : a closer look and new results

Dezhbakhsh, Hashem; Levy, Daniel C. - 2026

It is well established that the U.S. prewar output was more volatile and less shock persistent than the postwar output. This is often attributed to the data interpolation employed to construct the prewar series. Our analytical results, however, indicate that commonly used linear interpolation...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015633699

Financial shocks, productivity, and prices

Lenzu, Simone; Rivers, David A.; Tielens, Joris; Hu, Shi - 2026

We study the interconnection between the productivity and pricing effects of financial shocks. Combining administrative records on firm-level output prices and quantities with quasi-experimental variation in credit supply, we show that a tightening of credit conditions has a persistent, yet...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015633710

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Financial shocks, productivity, and prices

Lenzu, Simone; Rivers, David A.; Tielens, Joris; Hu, Shi - 2026

Book / Working Paper

Financial shocks, productivity, and prices

Lenzu, Simone; Rivers, David A.; Tielens, Joris; Hu, Shi - 2025

Book / Working Paper

Asymmetric effect of oil price on the inflation rate in MENA countries

Djamal, Dekkiche; Brahim, Laila Ouled; Zouaouid, Lazhari - 2026

This paper examines the asymmetric effects of oil price variations on MENA inflation from 1990 to 2021. Short- and long-term impacts were estimated by using Panel-NARDL models. To account for asymmetric effects, the price of oil was separated into positive and negative changes (oil+ and oil-),...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015636820

India's 20 Years of GDP misestimation : new evidence

Anand, Abhishek; Felman, Josh; Subramanian, Arvind - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015637002

Product dynamics and macroeconomic shocks

Hamano, Masasgige; Okubo, Toshihiro - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015668510

Nowcasting economic activity in European regions using a mixed-frequency dynamic factor model

Barbaglia, Luca; Frattarolo, Lorenzo; Hauzenberger, Niko; … - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015668323

Zukünftige Nutzung des UHF-Bands : Studie für die Deutsche Telekom, Telefónica Deutschland und Vodafone

Sörries, Bernd; Nett, Lorenz; Stronzik, Marcus; … - 2026 - Stand: Januar 2026

Vor dem Jahr 2031 ist über die weitere Nutzung von Frequenzen im Bereich von 470 bis 694 Megahertz (MHz) zu entscheiden. Heute werden die Frequenzen u. a. für die lineare Verbreitung von Bewegtbildinhalten genutzt. Eine Analyse der Nachfrage der öffentlichen Mobilfunknetzbetreiber, der...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015666893

Asymmetric monetary policy transmission across euro-area manufacturing industries

Flaccadoro, Marco; Ropele, Tiziano - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015669481

GDP and the limits of macroeconomic measurement in the age of artificial intelligence

Shehab, Elmekdad - 2026

Purpose - This article examines how the diffusion of artificial intelligence is widening a longrunning gap between what GDP records and what economies now produce, and what this implies for the macroeconomic measurement framework on which policy still depends. Design/methodology/approach - The...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015669528

Can Serbia reconcile economic growth with sustainability in a policy space shaped by contrasting regional norms?

Oprea, Simona Vasilica; Bâra, Adela - 2026

Our research investigates the dynamic relationship between economic growth and environmental sustainability in Serbia, a country situated at the intersection of Western environmental standards and Eastern development models. Specifically, it examines whether economic growth, as measured by GDP...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015667905

German Economy in Spring 2026: higher energy price weigh on sluggish economic momentum

Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens; Groll, Dominik; Hoffmann, Timo; … - 2026

The German economy is gradually regaining its footing. The main impulses are expected to stem from expansionary fiscal policy. However, a broad-based and strong recovery remains out of reach, as structural weaknesses-most visibly reflected in the pronounced loss of competitiveness-continue to...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015670185

Estimación del crecimiento potencial de la economía española : una revisión metodológica

Domínguez Díaz, Rubén; García-Rodríguez, Marta; … - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015672521

Long-run heterogeneous effects of entrepreneurship, institutional quality, and macroeconomic stability on GDP per capita : evidence from EU-26 countries

Khalikchaeva, Sadokat; Sobirov, Yuldoshboy; Kurbanov, … - 2026

This study investigates the determinants of GDP per capita across 26 European Union member states over the period of 2006-2024, with a particular focus on entrepreneurship, institutional quality, and macroeconomic factors. Given the presence of long-run income differences across EU countries,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015671981

Persistence in real GDP growth rates : univariate and multivariate evidence for the US, UK and Japan

Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Gil-Alaña, Luis A.; Perez … - 2026

This paper examines persistence in the real GDP growth rates of the US, UK and Japan. For this purpose, both univariate and multivariate parametric and semiparametric fractional integration methods are used. The results indicate cross-country heterogeneity. Specifically, in the case of the US...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015674823

The role of global inflation in estimation of US output components in the post Bretton Woods era : evidence from multivariate unobserved components models

Basistha, Arabinda - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015673661

Measuring the AI economy

Korinek, Anton; McKelvey, Patrick - 2026 - Last updated: June 18, 2026

We construct a macroeconomic estimate of total AI production for the United States, combining inference and R&D/training activities and applying quality adjustments based on the evolution of API prices at fixed performance levels and the pace of algorithmic progress. We estimate that nominal AI...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015670702

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Measuring the AI economy

Korinek, Anton; McKelvey, Patrick - 2026

Book / Working Paper

Measuring the AI economy

Korinek, Anton; McKelvey, Patrick - 2026

Book / Working Paper

Deflating bank transaction data for GDP nowcasting : whether and how to use inflation lags

Boudt, Kris; De Block, Arno; De Palmenaer, Feliciaan; … - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015671481

The dynamic interactions of CO2 emissions and renewable energy consumption on economic growth in G20 countries : a panel VAR approach

Susilo, Joko; Gunawan, Indra; Yumna, Aimatul - 2026

The interactions among CO2 emissions, renewable energy consumption, and economic growth are highly interconnected, especially among the G20 countries, and significantly impact global CO2 emissions and the global economy. Therefore, we need a more comprehensive understanding to take action to...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015675751

How do sectoral shocks shape future GDP?

Ho, Paul; Las, Danial; Sarte, Pierre-Daniel - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015675619

The impact of climate change on the real sector in the West African Monetary Zone

Olowofeso, Olorunsola E.; Wadda, Ebrima N.; Abude, … - 2025

Climate change poses severe risks to developing economies, particularly those in the West African Monetary Zone (WAMZ), where agriculture and climate-sensitive sectors drive growth. Rising temperatures, erratic rainfall, and extreme weather events increasingly disrupt output, fuel inflation, and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015618368

Forecasting GDP with oil price shocks : a mixed-frequency time-varying perspective

Luo, Jiawen; Deng, Jingyi; Cuñado Eizaguirre, Juncal; … - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015440676

Shocks at local banks, EU GDP growth, and banking sector stability

Arca, Pasqualina; Carosi, Andrea; Moro, Ornella - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015101857

Short-run and long-run consequences of unconventional monetary policy in Japan

Fukuda, Shin'ichi - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015202488

Analysing the relationship between unemployment rate, inflation rate, and the effect they have on gross domestic product in the United Kingdom (1990-2023)

Pavlov, Lachezar; Vasilev, Aleksandar - 2025

This paper examines the relationship between unemployment rate, inflation rate and economic output in Britain over 34 years. It utilizes a range of different time series techniques, including the ADF and PP unit root test, the autoregressive distributed lag model to cointegration (ARDL model)....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015202685

Identifying useful indicators for nowcasting GDP in Sweden

Karlsson, Sune; Mazur, Stepan; Raftab, Mariya - 2025

This paper focuses on identifying useful indicators for nowcasting GDP in Sweden. We analyze 35 monthly indicators spanning the period from 1993 to 2023. Additionally, we evaluate the group-wise performance of these indicators. The analysis is conducted using mixed-data sampling (MIDAS) and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015207182