This paper applies the Growth-at-Risk (GaR) framework to assess downside risks to euro area GDP growth, and it examines its usefulness for stress testing. Supervisory stress-test scenarios are often criticized for being either too mild or implausibly severe, raising questions about calibration....

We argue that the rapid asset growth of nonbank financial intermediaries (NBFIs) relative to banks is the outcome of transformations of risks between banks and NBFIs that increase the interconnectedness of the two sectors. These transformations are consistent with avoiding tighter, post-GFC bank...

Loan guarantees represent a form of government intervention to support bank lending. However, their use raises concerns as to their effect on bank risk-taking incentives. In a model of financial fragility that incorporates bank capital and a bank incentive problem, we show that loan guarantees...

This paper studies the role of banking supervision in anticipating, monitoring, and disciplining failing banks. We document that supervisors anticipate most bank failures with a high degree of accuracy. Supervisors play an important role in requiring troubled banks to recognize losses, taking...

External ratings (agency ratings) and internal ratings were already in use before Basel II, as powerful management tools. Basel II "adopts" them (the former in the Standard approach, the latter in the IRB approaches) in a productive way: internal ratings represent the final summary of the...

This study quantifies the impact of geopolitical risk on euro area banks using the 2025 EU-wide stress test, the first to include an explicit geopolitical scenario. Comparing outcomes with earlier stress tests, we find that geopolitical shocks measurably erode capital ratios, with smaller and...

This paper argues that the European macroprudential regime has evolved into a complex architecture of buffers, national discretion, and instrument-specific controls due to persistent doubts regarding the credibility of the EU bank resolution regime. Moreover, macroprudential controls are...

This first climate transition risk stress test for the Albanian banking sector assesses the macroeconomic and financial sector implications of Albania's shift to a low-carbon economy under different climate policy scenarios. It builds upon earlier exposure analyses conducted for the Albanian...

This paper examines the benefits and implementation challenges of the newly revised Basel Core Principles (BCPs) for effective banking supervision. It outlines the rationale for the 2024 reform led by the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision (BCBS), highlights key enhancements, and provides...

The Committee has revised its principles for the management of credit risk (Credit Risk Principles). These principles provide guidelines for banking supervisory authorities to evaluate banks' credit risk management processes in four key areas: (i) establishing a suitable credit risk environment;...

Monetary and Capital Markets (MCM) department delivered a hybrid technical assistance (TA) mission to assist the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) in developing a supervisory framework for operational resilience. An earlier mission in 2022 assisted BSP to develop a regulatory framework for...

This technical note focuses on regulation and supervision of less significant institutions as part of the Slovak Republic's Financial Sector Assessment Program. Národná banka Slovenska's (NBS) supervisory approach focuses on Less Significant Institution (LSI) risks and vulnerabilities however...

Supporting the Authority´s objectives on development of risk-based supervision of the banking sector, this technical assistance for the Bank of Lao P.D.R., conducted in Vientiane from June 10-14, 2024, provided advice on improvement of the aspects of risk-based supervision, including revising...

This literature review aims to support the work of the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision by providing insights from academic and policy work (including policy notes and speeches). It also draws on lessons from observed bank failures and supervisory practices. It provides key messages on...

The objective of the current work is to estimate to what extent support measures of the Bank of Russia and the Government of the Russian Federation promoted financial stability of banks and the financial market overall so to sustain lending economy-wide during the crisis periods of 2014, 2020,...

A large literature at the intersection of economics and finance offers prescriptions for regulating banks to increase financial stability. This literature abstracts from the discretion that accounting standards give banks over financial reporting, creating a gap between the information assumed...

A large literature at the intersection of economics and finance offers prescriptions for regulating banks to increase financial stability. This literature abstracts from the discretion that accounting standards give banks over financial reporting, creating a gap between the information assumed...

There is an ongoing debate about the role of income diversification in enhancing bank stability within the financial services industry in Europe. Some advocate for diversification, while others argue that its importance should not be overstated. Some financial institutions are encouraged to...

Regulatory sandboxes have emerged as policy instruments designed to support FinTech innovation while maintaining supervisory oversight. By allowing firms to test financial products in controlled environments, sandboxes aim to reduce regulatory uncertainty and facilitate market entry. Despite...