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Älter werden in Nordrhein-Westfalen: Demografischer Wandel als kommunale Zukunftsaufgabe

Dahlbeck, Elke; Jochimsen, Kerstin; Krüger-Willim, Carolin - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015654595

Growth and the demographic turn : development finance in an age of far-reaching population change

Mulgan, Geoff - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015655207

Too many houses, too few people : demographic optimism, housing oversupply, and falling house prices across advanced economies

2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015620221

Fiscal demographic reversal

Miyamoto, Hiroaki; Shinohara, Hiroaki - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015638665

World population highlights 2026: Youth

2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015647645

Älter werden in Nordrhein-Westfalen : demografischer Wandel als kommunale Zukunftsaufgabe

Dahlbeck, Elke; Jochimsen, Kerstin; Krüger-Willim, Carolin - 2026

Der demografische Wandel führt NRW-weit zu einem starken Anstieg des Altenquotienten und damit zu einem steigenden Bedarf altersspezifischer Wohnformen und Dienstleistungen. Das bestehende Angebot barrierefreier Wohnungen deckt bei Weitem nicht den Bedarf. Gleichzeitig verhindern langjährige...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015650421

DemoGrafiikka-väestökuvasto

Alho, Juha M. - 2026

The recent drastic decline of fertility has further worsened the negative intrinsic growth of Finland. The country appears to be on a path towards decline. Net migration has kept the actual growth positive, especially because the migrants are younger than the receiving population. Their...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015652576

Western Balkans 2035: demographic resilience and strategic migration planning under EU integration and isolation scenarios : analytical report

Jurić, Tado - 2026

This report examines how migration will shape the region’s demographic and socio-economic future by 2035 under two trajectories: EU Integration, marked by institutional strengthening and circular mobility, and Strategic Isolation, characterised by governance stagnation and one-way outflows....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015636506

Assessing the accuracy of probabilistic population forecasts

Alho, Juha M.; Keilman, Nico - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015668495

Das QuBe-Projekt : Modelle, Module, Methoden : Aktualisierung 2025

2025

Seit 2007 wird im Projekt QuBe über die zukünftige Entwicklung des Arbeitsmarkts und deren Folgen geforscht. Die QuBe-Projektionen werden in einem regelmäßigen zweijährigen Rhythmus erneuert. Der Reader stellt die Annahmen, Daten und die Basis der Projektionen vor, die im Projekt QuBe...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015533678

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Das QuBe-Projekt: Modelle, Module, Methoden. Aktualisierung 2025

2025

Book / Working Paper

Outlook and demographic perspectives for EU's rural regions : a modelling-based exercise

Curtale, Riccardo; Stut, Martijn; Alessandrini, Alfredo; … - 2025

The European Union is experiencing profound demographic shifts. This paper presents an analysis of observed population trends encompassing observations for the period 2000-2022 and projections until 2040 at the NUTS3 level. The projections were obtained by regionalizing the 2021 Ageing Report's...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015359142

Forecasting population in an uncertain world : approaches, new uses, and troubling limitations

Lee, Ronald Demos - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015394772

The impact of demographic change on spousal caregiving and future gaps in long-term care : microsimulation projections for Austria and Italy

Warum, Philipp; Culotta, Fabrizio; Famira-Mühlberger, … - 2025

As populations age, the sustainability of long-term care systems increasingly depends on the availability of informal care, particularly from partners. This paper addresses the question of how much care we may expect partners to provide in the future by projecting demand for long-term care...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015466097

Demographic outlook on "right to stay" : beyond the Letta report

2025

This report examines the demographic elements associated with the "right to stay" concept, as introduced by Enrico Letta. It has a particular focus on how demographic decline and migration patterns intersect and influence one another at European, national, regional and local levels. The findings...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015452829

Demographic change and the future of Austria's long-term care allowance : a dynamic microsimulation study

Famira-Mühlberger, Ulrike; Horvath, Thomas; Leoni, Thomas - 2025

Europe's demographic shift is putting increasing pressure on long-term care (LTC) systems and raising concerns about the sustainability of LTC financing. This paper analyses Austria's LTC system, particularly its universal long-term care allowance (LTCA), and uses a dynamic microsimulation model...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015407813

Low fertility, ageing buildings, and school congestion in the Philippines : tailwinds, headwinds, and some policy options

Abrigo, Michael Ralph M.; Perez, Tania Dew S.; Quejada, … - 2025

We estimate the future demand for public school classrooms using new school children population projections for 82 provinces and 33 urbanized cities of the Philippines up to 2060. A return to replacement-level fertility from the current 1.9 total fertility rate (TFR) is expected to ease demand...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015410966

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Low fertility, ageing buildings, and school congestion in the Philippines : tailwinds, headwinds, and some policy options

Abrigo, Michael Ralph M.; Perez, Tania Dew S.; Quejada, … - 2025

Book / Working Paper

Zukunftsfelder für Aus- und Weiterbildung in Wien in Zeiten demografischer, ökologischer und digitaler Herausforderungen

Bock-Schappelwein, Julia - 2025

In dieser Studie wird die Alterszusammensetzung der unselbständig Beschäftigten in Wien im Vergleich zu den übrigen österreichischen Bundesländern analysiert. Branchenspezifische Unterschiede und mögliche Auffälligkeiten im Anteil älterer und jüngerer Arbeitskräfte sowie...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015413168

Raumordnungsprognose 2045 : Haushaltsprognose

Hoymann, Jana; Schlömer, Claus; Maretzke, Steffen - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015434599

Projection of household-level consumption expenditures in a macro-micro consistent framework

Temursho, Umed; Weitzel, Matthias; Garaffa, Rafael - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015436524

Aging, population projections, and public Pensions

İmrohoroğlu, Selahattin - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015437549

Populism and the skill-content of globalization

Docquier, Frédéric; Iandolo, Stefano; Rapoport, Hillel; … - 2025

We propose new ways to measure populism, using the Manifesto Project Database (1960- 2019) as main source of data. We characterize the evolution of populism over 60 years and show empirically that it is significantly impacted by the skill-content of globalization. Specifically, imports of goods...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015438026

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Populism and the skill-content of globalization

Docquier, Frédéric; Iandolo, Stefano; Rapoport, Hillel; … - 2025 - This version: August 4, 2025

Edition: This version: August 4, 2025

Book / Working Paper

Populism and the skill-content of globalization

Docquier, Frédéric; Iandolo, Stefano; Rapoport, Hillel; … - 2024

Book / Working Paper

Demographic trends and regional development : editorial

Rontos, Kostas - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015615544

On using ARIMA model confidence intervals applied to population projections based on the components of change : a case study for the world population

Swanson, David A.; Tayman, Jeff - 2025

This paper shows how measures of uncertainty from a standard time series model (ARIMA) can be applied to an existing population projection based on components of change using the world as a case study. The measures of forecast uncertainty are relatively easy to calculate and meet several...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015596207

Die Bevölkerungsvorausschätzung für Hessen und seine Regionen als Grundlage der Landesentwicklungsplanung : Projektion bis 2040 und Trendfortschreibung bis 2050/2060

Busch, Uwe van den - 2025 - Stand: März 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015550842

The native Maltese population : projections and implications on the labour supply

Cumbo, Lynn - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015399713

How period life expectancy can distort our interpretation of mortality crises

Miranda, Maria L.; Basellini, Ugofilippo; Acosta, Enrique; … - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015533824

Forecasting the growth of millennial wealth in the US : wealthfront

2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015402901

Macroeconomic implications of demographic changes in Bulgaria

Ivanov, Ventsislav; Cvetkova, Desislava; Vassilev, Andrey - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015668540

IW-Bevölkerungsprognose: Eine Datengrundlage zur Gestaltung der Herausforderungen des demografischen Wandels auf Basis des Zensus 2022

Deschermeier, Philipp - 2024

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015117580

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IW-Bevölkerungsprognose : eine Datengrundlage zur Gestaltung der Herausforderungen des demografischen Wandels auf Basis des Zensus 2022

Deschermeier, Philipp - 2024

Article

The ... ageing report

2024

To assess the long-term sustainability of public finances in the EU Member States, the ECOFIN Council mandated the Economic Policy Committee (EPC) to update its comprehensive long-term budgetary projections by the summer of 2024. The update of the Ageing Report, a joint report by the EPC and the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014636832

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The ... ageing report

2023

Book / Working Paper

The ... ageing report

2021

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The ... ageing report

2020

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The ... ageing report

2018

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The ... ageing report

2017

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The ... ageing report

2015

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The ... ageing report

2014

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The ... ageing report

Europäische Kommission; Europäische Kommission / …; … - Luxembourg : Publications Office of the European Union; … - 2009=2008/60 -

Journal

FDZ data description : RWI-GEO-POP-FORECAST : small-scale population projection V2.1

Breidenbach, Philipp; Thiel, Patrick; Wiebe, Thorben - 2024

Existing nationwide population projections focus on highly aggregated spatial units. The most disaggregated nationwide study is provided by the German Federal Institute for Building, Urban Affairs and Spatial Research (BBSR) and forecasts population at the county level until 2040 (BBSR, 2021)....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014500552

Digital trace data and demographic forecasting : how well did Google predict the US COVID-19 baby bust?

Wilde, Joshua; Chen, Wei; Lohmann, Sophie; Ghany, … - 2024

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015116797

Raumordnungsprognose 2045 : Bevölkerungsprognose - aktualisiert anhand der Ergebnisse des Zensus 2022

Maretzke, Steffen; Hoymann, Jana; Schlömer, Claus - 2024

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015190433

Konsekwencje zmian demograficznych dla podaży pracy w Polsce

Kukołowicz, Paula; Leszczyński, Paweł; Lubasiński, … - 2024

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015191540

Demographic trends and housing patterns in the Philippines

Magno-Ballesteros, Marife; Ancheta, Jenica A.; Ramos, … - 2024

This study examines how demographic changes lead to different household structures and housing choices among different age groups. It argues that the cointegration of demography, housing market, and wealth have shaped housing demand in the country over time. The results have important often...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015196525

A survey of Australian demographic projection users

Grossman, Irina; Hosseini-Chavoshi, Meimanat; Wilson, Tom; … - 2024

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015394247

Report on the activities conducted by the Latin American and Caribbean Demographic Centre (CELADE) : Population Division of ECLAC during the period 2022–2024

2024

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015047014

The role of juror demographics in civil trials

Anwar, Shamena; Bayer, Patrick J.; Hjalmarsson, Randi - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015619032

Aging gracefully : steering the banking sector through demographic shifts

Imam, Patrick; Schmieder, Christian - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015636170

Einschätzungen zur Bevölkerungsvorausberechnung sowie zur Entwicklung der zukünftigen Humankapitalbildung, der Arbeitszeitpräferenzen der Beschäftigten, der Jahresarbeitszeiten und des gesamtwirtschaftlichen Arbeitsvolumens von Vollzeitbeschäftigten

Hellwagner, Timon; Lochner, Benjamin; Wanger, Susanne; … - 2023

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014433087

Future fertility scenarios in Finland : a computational forecasting approach

Ciganda, Daniel; Hellstrand, Julia; Myrskylä, Mikko - 2023

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014232250

Growing older and growing apart? : population age structure and trade

Kopecky, Joseph - 2023

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014428629

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Growing older and growing apart? : population age structure and trade

Kopecky, Joseph - 2023

Book / Working Paper

The Impact of Health and Education on Labor Force Participation in Aging Societies – Projections for the United States and Germany from a Dynamic Microsimulation

Böheim, René; Horvath, Thomas; Leoni, Thomas; … - 2021

Using a highly stylized dynamic microsimulation model, we project the labor force of the United States up to the year 2060 and contrast these projections with projections for Germany to assess differential effects on outcomes The projections are consistent with the U S Census Bureau's and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10012794562

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The impact of health and education on labor force participation in aging societies : projections for the United States and Germany from a dynamic microsimulation

Böheim, René; Horvath, Thomas; Leoni, Thomas; … - 2021

Book / Working Paper

The Impact of Health and Education on Labor Force Participation in Aging Societies – Projections for the United States and Germany from a Dynamic Microsimulation

Böheim, René; Horvath, Thomas; Leoni, Thomas; … - 2023

Book / Working Paper

Hellwagner, Timon; Lochner, Benjamin; Wanger, Susanne; … - 2023

Zur Vorbereitung des Jahresgutachtens 2023/2024 des Sachverständigenrats zur Begutachtung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung wurde das IAB um seine Expertise zur Bevölkerungsvorausberechnung, zur Entwicklung der zukünftigen Humankapitalbildung, der Arbeitszeitpräferenzen der...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014432589