This paper proposes a semiparametric local polynomial estimator for modelling agricultural time-series. We consider the modelling of the crop yield variable according to determined financial risk factors in Turkey. The derivation of a semiparametric local polynomial estimator is provided with...

Agricultural production is often exposed to several sources of risks, uncertainties and random shocks. These risks and random shocks make the evaluation the influence of policy interventions in the agricultural sector difficult due to the existence of limited data about random events....

Farmer adoption of improved crop varieties can potentially increase yields and enhance household welfare in the developing world. However, the presence of measurement error in household surveys poses a serious challenge to estimating true returns to adopting improved varieties. Using the 2018/19...

The use of Information and Communications Technology (ICT) in agriculture such as the Rice Crop Manager (RCM) has provided farmers crop nutrient management guidelines for irrigated and rainfed lowland areas. The study aimed to evaluate the RCM and its enhanced calculation in low yielding areas...

National wheat yield depends on climate conditions and usually remains unknown until harvest. In-season knowledge can be provided by wheat yield forecast systems, supporting the decision-making of farmers, food traders, or policymakers. In this study, we improved a previously developed...

This paper extends the Baltagi et al. (2018, 2021) static and dynamic ?-contamination papers to dynamic space-time models. We investigate the robustness of Bayesian panel data models to possible misspecification of the prior distribution. The proposed robust Bayesian approach departs from the...

I examine the effects of climate change adaptation on agricultural productivity using a unique dataset from a non-randomized experiment involving 1,811 adapted and 3,280 non-adapted farm households across four African countries. By employing instrumental variables and simultaneous equations...

Effective agricultural insurance and risk management program rely on accurate crop yield forecasting. In this paper, we propose a novel deep factor model for crop yield forecasting and crop insurance ratemaking. This framework first utilizes a deep autoencoder to extract a latent factor, called...

Climate change is amplifying the threat of drought to food security. While drought can cause significant agricultural production loss through both crop yield and acreage, previous studies have mostly overlooked the impacts of drought on crop acres. To address this gap, we study corn and soybean...

Integration of advanced irrigation systems and technology is essential to improve crop water productivity and yields, especially in developing countries. This study aims at investigating the effects of adopting a drip irrigation system combined with hand-dug wells on crop water productivity and...

We study potential impacts of future climate change on U.S. agricultural productivity using county‐level yield and weather data from 1950 to 2015. To account for adaptation of production to different weather conditions, it is crucial to allow for both spatial and temporal variation in the...

This paper proposes a semiparametric local polynomial estimator for modelling agricultural time-series. We consider the modelling of the crop yield variable according to determined financial risk factors in Turkey. The derivation of a semiparametric local polynomial estimator is provided with...

Considering a temporal dimension allows for the delivery of rolling solutions to complex real-world problems. Moving forward in time brings uncertainty, and large margins for potential error in solutions. For the multi-year crop planning problem, the largest uncertainty is how the climate will...

This study estimates the impact of excess precipitation (or the absence of rainfall) on productivity of agricultural land parcels in New Zealand. This type of post-disaster damage assessments aims to allow for quantification of disaster damage when on-the-ground assessment of damage is too...

Every year, disasters account for billions of dollars in crop production losses in low- and middle-income countries and particularly threaten the lives and livelihoods of those depending on agriculture. With climate change accelerating, this burden will likely increase in the future and...

This paper uses a 4-year panel (2019-2022) of 10,125 village councils in Ukraine to estimate direct and indirect effects of the war started by Russia on area and expected yield of winter crops. Satellite imagery is used to provide information on direct damage to agricultural fields; classify...

Every year, disasters account for billions of dollars in crop production losses in low- and middle-income countries and particularly threaten the lives and livelihoods of those depending on agriculture. With climate change accelerating, this burden will likely increase in the future and...

Agriculture plays a significant role in Rwanda’s economic growth but is still highly rain-fed with risks and losses caused by adverse natural and climate shocks. Agricultural insurance schemes are widely recognized as potential risk management strategies. This study aims to examine the...

This paper studies the effect of emigration on technological change in sending locations after one of the largest migration events in human history, the mass migration from Europe to the United States in the 19th century. To establish causality, we adopt an instrumental variable strategy that...

The weather index-based insurances may help farmers to cope with climate risks overcoming the most common issues of traditional insurances. However, the weather index-based insurances present the limit of the basis risk: a significant yield loss may occur although the weather index does not...

This study examines the role of enset or false banana, an orphan crop with high resilience to extreme environmental conditions, high nutritional value, and long storability, in the livelihood of rural households in Ethiopia. With its specific characteristics, enset could reduce households'...

One of Ethiopia’s main challenges is increasing wheat production and productivity by designing and implementing an appropriate wheat policy. The country has a wheat supply and demand gap, forcing the country to spend a substantial amount of foreign currency for wheat imports, which are...