Search Results - subject_exact:"Crude oil"

Oil price transmission, synthetic-rubber substitution, and inventory regimes in China-Thailand rubber markets

Montchai Pinitjitsamut - 2026

This paper examines how international crude-oil price movements are transmitted to natural-rubber prices through the petrochemical-synthetic-rubber chain, with implications for Thailand as the world's leading natural-rubber exporter and China as the dominant consumer. Using monthly data from...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015676349

Speculative trading in energy markets : evidence from macroeconomic surprises

Boucher, Simon-Pierre; Gagnon, Marie-Hélène; Power, … - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016064015

Crude oil and economic performance in Nigeria in the presence of multicollinearity using Cobb-Douglass model

Sunday, Adesina Olumide; Olaoluwa, Agboola O.; Funmi, … - 2025

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015417302

Assessing the influence of geopolitical risks and Indian uncertainty index on energy sector with VECM

Meher, Bharat Kumar; Anand, Abhishek; Frank, Daniel; … - 2025

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015466596

Disentangling timing uncertainty of event-driven connectedness among oil-based energy commodities

Kočenda, Evžen; Bartušek, Daniel - 2025

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015457987

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Disentangling timing uncertainty of event-driven connectedness among oil-based energy commodities

Kočenda, Evžen; Bartušek, Daniel - 2024

Book / Working Paper

Bridging the methane gap : what the EU import standard means for UK oil and gas exports?

Olczak, Maria - 2025

The European Union’s Methane Emissions Regulation (EU MER), effective from August 2024, introduces a methane intensity standard for fossil fuel imports into the EU. It places new compliance requirements on EU importers and, indirectly, on non-EU producers and exporters, including those...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015449465

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Bridging the methane gap: What the EU import standard means for UK oil and gas exports?

Olczak, Maria - 2025

Book / Working Paper

Financial dynamics of energy, coal, and crude oil prices: pathways to sustainability

Goh, Thomas Sumarsan; Erika, Erika; Henry, Henry; … - 2025

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015425699

The 50-year-old oil crisis and its impact on the global economy : a bibliometric analysis

Mim, Tahmina Akther; Kathiravan, Chinnadurai; Maniam, … - 2024

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014634869

Forecasting realized volatility of crude oil futures prices based on machine learning

Luo, Jiawen; Klein, Tony; Walther, Thomas; Ji, Qiang - 2024

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015108396

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Forecasting Realized Volatility of Crude Oil Futures Prices based on Machine Learning

Luo, Jiawen; Ji, Qiang; Klein, Tony; Walther, Thomas - 2021

Book / Working Paper

Differentiating upstream crude oil carbon intensities in a net-zero world

Apeaning, Raphael; Kamboj, Puneet; Moya, Diego; Qiu, Yang; … - 2025

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015578969

Trading momentum in the US crude oil futures market

Gurrib, Ikhlaas; Starkova, Olga; Hamdan, Dalia - 2024

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015120803

Connectedness and portfolio management between clean energy, crude oil prices and equities market before and during the Russia-Ukraine war : evidence for GCC countries

Chkili, Walid; Mabrouk, Samir - 2024

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015154330

The resource curse in the gulf region : charting a path for long-term economic sustainability

Ateba, Benedict Belobo; Enwereji, Prince Chuwuneme - 2024

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015114999

Volatility integration of crude oil, gold, and interest rates on the exchange rate : DCC GARCH and BEKK GARCH applications

Rastogi, Shailesh; Kanoujiya, Jagjeevan; Doifode, Adesh - 2024

Literature is replete with evidence of market integration between crude oil, gold and interest rates (IR) with the exchange rate (ER) due to varied reasons. However, it is observed that the explored market integration is limited for the price and return volatilities. Bivariate GARCH models...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014543455

Petroleum funds as instruments of energy policy and economic diversification : a cross-country integrative review

Mota, Teodoro Marcos; Adityawarman, Adityawarman; … - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015617045

Oil dependence, economic diversification, and economic growth in GCC countries : a new composite index and PMG-ARDL evidence

Ishker, Nermeen; Taher, Hanadi; Houshaimi, Maggie - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015618828

Can satellites predict oil demand?

Bricongne, Jean-Charles; Macalos, Joao; Meunier, Baptiste; … - 2026

We investigate whether satellite observations of nitrogen dioxide (NO₂) - a short-lived pollutant primarily emitted by fossil fuel combustion - can improve the forecasting of oil demand. After retrieving, cleaning, and aggregating daily satellite data, we integrate NO₂ into a range of...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015610289

Lessons from downstream diversification of oil and gas exporting countries

Luciani, Giacomo - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015620234

Lifting constraints : Venezuelan oil and global market adjustment

Adel, Niloofar; Bastianin, Andrea; Pedini, Luca; … - 2026

We quantify the contribution of Venezuela’s oil sector collapse to changes in global oil market responsiveness after 2007. We extend the multi-country structural model of Baumeister and Hamilton (2024) by modeling Venezuela explicitly and constructing a counterfactual production path that...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015627979

Why oil windfalls do not equal welfare : regime-dependent long-run elasticities in MENA and Azerbaijan

Güläliyev, Mayis; Aliyev, Shafa; Alesgerova, Aygun; … - 2026

Background: This study revisits whether oil revenue windfalls translate into higher socio-economic welfare in oil-exporting economies and explains why oil price booms often fail to generate sustained gains in real GDP per capita. Methods: Using annual data for ten oil-exporting countries over...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015628614

Present and future of oil and gas exploration and production transition-out : what can Iran learn from Quebec's Act?

Falahati, Mahin - 2026

Iran's share of global greenhouse gas emissions has increased. This trend shows that demand-side policies are insufficient on their own. More robust measures, including phasing out the petroleum production, are necessary. However, such measures are still emerging in Iran, and an appropriate...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015677721

Global agrifood implications of the 2026 conflict in the Middle East : impacts on energy and fertilizer trade, and food security : information note

2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015637581

Unveiling unspanned macroeconomic factors in oil futures price dynamics : evidence from China's oil futures market

Ji, Zhihao; Liu, Jiangfeng; Gao, Li - 2026

Global energy security and the stability of industrial chains increasingly hinge on the accuracy of crude oil futures price (COFP) discovery. Traditional models often overlook the unspanned macroeconomic factors (UMFs), which represent latent risks existing outside the immediate pricing...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015677812

Turkana’s extractive promises in limbo

Schubiger, Elisabeth - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015727799

Refineries, pipelines and petroleum fields : the impact of oil on conflict around the world

Dreher, Axel; Pan, Jingke; Herrmann, Maximilian - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015666670

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Refineries, pipelines and petroleum fields : the impact of oil on conflict around the world

Dreher, Axel; Pan, Jingke; Herrmann, Maximilian - 2026

Book / Working Paper

Composite weight-catastrophe progression model : assessment of external risks in transnational oil and gas pipelines

Niu, Bo; Yang, Xiao; Chang, Yi; Sai, Yunxiu - 2026

Transnational oil and gas pipelines serve as vital strategic corridors within China's framework for energy import dependency, with their external risks directly impacting energy security and economic development. However, existing research still exhibits shortcomings in the systematic...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015671047

Dual safe havens during turbulence? : wavelet-based TVP-VAR evidence from oil-gold dynamics under uncertainty shocks

Li, Sensheng; Li, Houjian - 2026

Under the background of geopolitical risk and economic policy uncertainty, understanding the dynamic interaction between key commodity markets is essential. This study examines the time-frequency relationship between China's crude oil and gold under multiple sources of uncertainty. Using a...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015671359

From roads to pipelines? : internalizing a social cost of carbon in the distribution of refined oil products in Saudi Arabia

Matar, Walid; Alidrisi, Jaidaa - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015671079

Geopolitical shocks and regime-dependent oil price volatility : evidence from Middle East escalations in 2025-2026

Czech, Katarzyna; Wielechowski, Michał - 2026

Geopolitical tensions remain an important source of uncertainty for global oil markets. This study examines whether recent geopolitical shocks related to escalating tensions in the Middle East in 2025–2026 were associated with changes in oil price volatility regimes. The analysis is based on...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015671893

Gold and oil in periods of financial turmoil : a LSTAR GARCH bivariate copula investigation

Cifarelli, Giulio - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015675828

Strategic evolution of port oil depot scheduling : from local optimization to integrated low-carbon energy hubs

Wang, Weiqiang; Liu, Min; Liu, Jun; Ma, Xincheng; Du, … - 2026

As global energy systems undergo a profound transition towards sustainability and resilience, the strategic role of port oil depots has evolved from mere logistical nodes to critical hubs governing energy security and low-carbon integration. This study conducts a systematic analysis of 637...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015677818

Asymmetric moderating role of geopolitical risk in the relationship between oil rents and CO₂ emissions in Saudi Arabia : an NARDL approach

2026

Oil is a major source of income and emissions in the Saudi economy. Thus, this study examines the symmetrical and asymmetrical impacts of oil rents (ORs) on CO2 emissions using data from 1970 to 2024. For this purpose, the Nonlinear Autoregressive Distributed Lag (NARDL) model is applied, while...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015676462

Indian crude oil market reaction towards Russia-Ukraine war : an empirical study of spot and futures market

Saini, Chanchal; Sharma, Ishwar - 2023

The paper examines the impact of Russia-Ukraine war news on Indian crude oil spot and futures markets. The event study Methodology is employed to examine the abnormal returns in crude oil spot and futures markets on the Russia-Ukraine War announcement date. For robustness of results, traditional...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014439462

Strait of Hormuz disruptions: the burden of oil price shocks on vulnerable economies

2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016061445

WTI crude oil options market prior to and during the COVID-19 pandemic

Łamasz, Bartosz; Michalski, Marek; Puka, Radosław - 2023

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014316298

Graph theory approach to prices transmission in the network of commonly used liquid fuels

Janda, Karel; Schererova, Barbora; Sila, Jan; … - 2023

We analyze the relationships within the liquid fuels system and its associated supply chain using innovative network filtering methods, namely the Minimum Spanning Tree and Triangulated Maximally Filtered Graph. Our findings reveal that biofuels form robust connections with their feedstocks that...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014333569

Forecasting volatility in oil returns using asymmetric GARCH models : evidence from Tanzania

Letema, Laban Gaspe; Mbwambo, Haika Andrew - 2023

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014281963

Value at risk and expected shortfall estimation for Mexico's isthmus crude oil using long-memory GARCH-EVT combined approaches

Jesús Gutiérrez, Raúl <de>; Gutiérrez, Lidia E. Carvajal - 2023

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014373513

Econometric analysis of the effect of energy prices on exchange rates during war period

Aslanova, Afaq; Mammadova, Simuzar - 2023

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014373532

Analysis of the effect of energy prices on stock indexes during the epidemic crisis

Guliyeva, Shafa - 2023

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014366137

Unraveling timing uncertainty of event-driven connectedness among oil-based energy commodities

Bartušek, Daniel; Kočenda, Evžen - 2023

The pricing dynamics of oil-based commodities are frequently influenced by reported events. Our analysis spans almost 900 oil-related events from 1978 to 2022, categorizing them based on recurring characteristics. Employing a novel bootstrap-after-bootstrap testing econometric framework, we...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014444768

Asymmetric information flow between exchange rate, oil, and gold : new evidence from transfer entropy approach

Maiti, Moinak; Kayal, Parthajit - 2023

The present study used transfer entropy and effective transfer entropy to examine the asymmetric information flow between exchange rates, oil, and gold. The dataset is composed of daily data covering the period of 1 January 2018 to 31 December 2021. Further, the dataset is bifurcated for...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014301581

The impact of oil supply surprises on maritime transport : a temporal and sectoral analysis

Tarkun, Savaş - 2025

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015485806

How far are the crude oil price and inflation relevant to forecast the stock prices? Evidence from India

Agarwalla, Megha; Sahu, Tarak Nath; Jana, Shib Sankar - 2025

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015606945

Comparison of the interdependence relationship between crude oil futures and spot in China and international crude oil markets : evidence from time-frequency and quantile perspectives

Shi, Fengyuan; Deng, Yiwen; Guo, Yaoqi - 2025

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015374477

Predicting crude oil returns and trading position: Evidence from news sentiment

Jung, Hail; Kim, Daejin - 2025

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015607496

Azerbaijan Foreign Trade 2024: Statistical Analysis and Devaluation Expectations

Ibadoghlu, Gubad - 2025

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015188945

Spillover effects between China's new energy and carbon markets and international crude oil market : a look at the impact of extreme events

Zhang, Yong; Tang, Guangyuan; Li, Rong - 2025

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015331886

The economics of waste oil recycling in the EU

Klenert, David; García-Gutiérrez, P.; Tonini, D.; … - 2025

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015332231

Contemporaneous and lagged R² decomposed connectedness : evidence for stock market indices, thematic ETFs, bitcoin, brent crude oil and geopolitical risks

Belhouichet, Fekria; Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; … - 2025

This paper applies the R² connectedness method proposed by Balli et al. (2023) to analyse contemporaneous and lagged connectedness between returns on several asset classes (sector ETFs, Bitcoin, stock market indices, Brent crude oil) over the period 1 January 2023 – 22 September 2025, in the...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015547417