Meine Dissertation besteht aus drei Arbeiten zu systematischen Währungsstrategien. In den jeweiligen Artikeln untersuche ich (1) Momentum-, (2) Carry- und (3) Options-Strategien. Der erste Artikel untersucht zwei Methoden des Risikomanagements, die für Aktienmarkt-Momentum entwickelt wurden:...

This paper aims to examine the volatility spillovers among three asset classes, namely, equity, currency and credit among developed European countries and developing Central Eastern European countries in response to political, economic and financial events occurred in the Eurozone in the last...

Die Arbeit stellt zunächst das Interventionsverhalten der Notenbanken seit 1973 und die zugrundeliegenden Eingriffsgründe dar. Daran schließt sich eine umfangreiche theoretische und empirische Analyse der Interventionswirkungen an. Zielsetzung der Studie ist es, die bereits vorliegenden...

Die Arbeit untersucht, unter welchen Umständen das von makroökonomischen Fundamentalvariablen losgelöste und damit scheinbar irrationale Imitationsverhalten von Devisenmarktteilnehmern zu Zahlungsbilanzkrisen führen kann. In einem eigens entworfenen stochastischen Modell des Beharrungs- und...

This paper aims to examine the volatility spillovers among three asset classes, namely, equity, currency and credit among developed European countries and developing Central Eastern European countries in response to political, economic and financial events occurred in the Eurozone in the last...

Is it common for central banks to intervene in foreign exchange markets in order to influence exchange rates? And if so, is it effective? From a German perspective, these questions seem surprising, since the European Central Bank (ECB) does not intervene in foreign exchange markets-rather, it...

The paper considers the problem of volatility co-movement, namely as to whether two financial returns have perfectly correlated common volatility process, in the framework of multivariate stochastic volatility models and proposes a test which checks the volatility co-movement. The proposed test...

We examine the reasons why the SNB gave up the lower floor of the 1.20 CHF/EUR exchange rate arrangement. Three types of shocks played a role: Exogenous shocks to the autonomous component of money demand, interest rate decreases of the ECB, as well as appreciation expectations. In order to...

This report discusses FX liquidity metrics and their drivers, reaching four conclusions. First, changes in FX markets have reduced the usefulness of some conventional FX liquidity metrics; several metrics need to be assessed together to give a better picture of market liquidity. Second, some...

Machine generated contents note: Foreword by Jared Dillian Acknowledgements Chapter 1: Introduction: Why I wrote this book Part One: Understand the Foreign Exchange Market (FX 101) Chapter 2: A very brief history of FX Chapter 3: Currency Trading Basics Chapter 4: Understand Market Structure...

A Comparative Study of Forex Trade of India and China through Forecasting using Browns Method / Kamakshaiah Musunuru, Prof. S.S. Prasada Rao -- Indias Exchange Traded Currency Derivatives Market: An Overview / Gangineni Dhananjhay, Prof. S.S. Prasada Rao An Overview of the Foreign Exchange...

A large literature attributes failure of uncovered interest rate parity (UIP) to the existence of a timevarying risk premium. This paper presents a mechanism in a simple two-country two-good endowment economy with incomplete markets that generates sizeable deviations from UIP. In a...

We ask whether the markets expected the Swiss National Bank (SNB) to discontinue the 1.20 cap on the Swiss franc against the euro in January 2015. In the runup to the SNB announcement, neither options on the euro/Swiss franc nor FX liquidity indicated a significant shift in market expectations....

Background: The purpose of this study is to examine volatility spillover effects between stock market and foreign exchange market in selected Asian countries; Pakistan, India, Sri Lanka, China, Hong Kong and Japan. This study considered daily data from 4th January, 1999 to 1st January, 2014....

This paper empirically compares the implications of two distinct models of FX intervention, within the context of Inflation Targeting Regimes. For this purpose, it applies the VAR methodology developed by Kim (2003) to the cases of Mexico and Brazil. Our results can be summarized in three...

We analyze the impact of Eurozone/Germany and U.S. macroeconomic news announcements and the communication of the monetary policy settings of the ECB and the Fed on the forex markets of new EU members. We employ an Event Study Methodology to analyze intra-day data from 2011-2015. Our...

Foreign exchange markets are the biggest financial markets on the globe, the dollar-euro market is the biggest among them with a daily turnover of $1.3 trillion. This market is the interface of the euro bloc and the dollar bloc which use mainly one of the major currencies, comprising 45-60% and...

To improve short-horizon exchange rate forecasts, we employ foreign exchange market risk factors as fundamentals, and Bayesian treed Gaussian process (BTGP) models to handle non-linear, time-varying relationships between these fundamentals and exchange rates. Forecasts from the BTGP model...

Introduction -- The foreign exchange intervention -- The bid-ask spread: the market microstructure perspective -- The empirical decomposition of the bid-ask spread for exchange rates -- Government intervention on the spread -- References -- Appendices.