This paper presents an innovative approach to financial market modelling by integrating fuzzy discount factors into the decision-making process, thereby reflecting the complexities of human behaviour. Traditional financial models often fail to account for market dynamics' psychological factors....

Hyperbolic discounting, a key determinant of intertemporal behavior, captures individuals' preferences for smaller immediate rewards over larger delayed ones. This study examined how hyperbolic discounting influences investment loss tolerance using a large-scale dataset of Japanese investors....

We study a discrete-time optimal growth model with endogenous discounting. The discount factor may depend on both consumption and the capital stock, and intertemporal utility is modeled as a discounted sum of instantaneous utilities, with the sum of discount factors equal to one. We show that...

This report estimates the "social rate of time preference" (SRTP) for New Zealand public policy appraisal using a Ramsey equation. It uses the Weitzman (1998) method to derive a declining discount rate schedule of 2% (real) for years 1-30, 1.5% for years 31-100, and 1% for years 101 on. The...

Individuals trade present for future consumption across a range of economic behaviors, and this tradeoff may differ across socioeconomic groups. To assess these tradeoffs, we estimate a dynamic model of residential solar adoption and system sizing in California using household-level data on...

We study all theories of justice that disentangle ethical views on intergenerational discounting and intergenerational inequality. Each “modular” social welfare function is uniquely identified by a time-discounting function—capturing attitudes toward time—and an aggregator function—...

We utilize Bayesian model averaging to estimate a stochastic discount factor (SDF) for single-stock options. A Bayesian model averaging SDF outperforms reduced-form benchmark models in-sample and out-of-sample in pricing option return anomalies and portfolios. We document that the SDF is dense...

We study infinitely repeated games in which the players’ rates of time preference may evolve endogenously in the course of the game. Our goal is to strengthen the folk theorem of Kochov and Song (2023) by relaxing the assumption of observable mixtures. To that end, we identify and impose a new...

This paper explores the multifaceted nature of risk in financial decision-making by integrating traditional finance models with insights from behavioural finance. It assesses the application of models such as the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC), and...

We study the association of the perseverance of effort and the consistency of interests components of the psychological measure of grit with economic measures of impatience and time inconsistency in the general population. We find that impatience is associated with grit through the perseverance...