The existing literature shows that, due to locality and familiarity, spatial investor-firm adjacency plays a key role in determining stock investor attention, as proxied by the location where investors initiate an Internet search of the ticker symbol. This paper investigates whether Chinese...

Modern society is driven by electricity usage. I construct a proxy tracing regional economic intensity using electricity usage provided by utility firms in the United States from 1990 to 2020. After comparing electricity usage growth with common regional consumption measures, I find it a leading...

In this paper, we provide an estimate of the ex-ante risk premia on earnings announcements based on the option market. We find that the risk premia are time-varying and have predictive power on future stock returns. With our ex-ante risk premia as a measure of uncertainty before each earnings...

We examine whether management earnings forecasts (MEFs) help reduce the stock return seasonality associated with earnings seasonality around earnings announcements (EAs) in Chinese A-share markets. We find that firms in historically low earnings seasons outperform firms in high earnings seasons...

This paper shows that the empirical distribution of cross-sectional analyst coverage in China’s stock market maintains an exponential pattern for each year and each month from 2011 to 2020. Moreover, the parameter λ of coverage distribution is directly related to market risk premium....

Previous research finds that historical seasonal earnings rank negatively predicts stock returns surrounding earnings announcements (EAs) in China’s A-share markets. We examine whether management earnings forecasts (MEFs) help reduce the stock return seasonality associated with earnings...

We adopt an information risk view and hypothesize that low quality financial disclosure related to equity pledging by controlling shareholders impairs analyst forecast quality. We sample Chinese A-share firms and find that the proportion of shares pledged (pledge ratio) by controlling...

We explain stock mispricing linked to long-term expectations of earnings growth in terms of managerial manipulation in high-growth conglomerates. Manipulation does not affect analysts’ forecasts of conglomerate earnings, which are more accurate relative to pseudo-conglomerates. The combined...

We examine the impact of managerial sentiment on analysts' following decisions and earnings forecast accuracy. By analyzing the textual tone of management discussion and analysis sections in annual reports to capture managerial sentiment, we find that when managerial sentiment is more positive,...

Two ex-ante variables are introduced to characterize the analysts' biased behavior, namely the analysts' disagreement and self-selection in analysts' earnings forecasts. The study investigates the impact of the analysts' disagreement and self-selection on the stock returns. A theoretical...

Using manually collected firm-level data on foreign subsidiaries, we examine the impact of internationalisation on analysts’ earnings forecast bias in Chinese multinational corporations. We find that analysts’ earnings forecast bias is stronger among multi-national firms when compared with...

This study examines how a stock security’s cash flow duration impacts stock price reactions at earnings announcements. We find that stock price reactions are positively associated with cash flow duration, especially when earnings surprises are negative. Our results imply that long duration...

If stocks that heavily shorted by retail traders experience large positive earnings surprises, they tend to have abnormally higher returns on the earnings announcement day and beyond. This effect is more pronounced for less liquid stocks and unrelated to non-short selling by retail traders....

We comprehensively examine the superiority of various statistical methods and analysts’ forecasts in predicting earnings to provide an updated view on the best surrogate of earnings expectations. We also evaluate the impact of specification choices used in recent studies that implement ML...

Corporate earnings announcements unpack large bundles of information that should, if markets are efficient, almost surely trigger jumps in stock prices immediately after the news release. Testing this implication is difficult in practice because most earnings announcements occur in the...

When paying fast-thinking attention to the market, individual investors do not process earnings announcements but instead trade attention-grabbing stocks based on technical trends. To study fast-thinking attention, I exploit a setting where the brokerage Robinhood sends millions of its users...

This study examines whether crowdsourced forecasts of earnings and revenues help investors unravel bias in earnings announcement news, which is commonly derived from analyst forecasts. Our results suggest that investors, on average, understand and price the predictive signals reflected in...

We study whether bond markets efficiently incorporate information about risk. Our results suggest that bond investors underreact to risk information embedded in earnings announcements. A one-standard deviation increase in unexpected risk is associated with a three-day abnormal bond return about...

We extend literature on the timing and quantitative content of earnings announcements (EAs), and consider whether managers use qualitative characteristics to relate the reliability of earnings information, relative to audit completion. We also examine if qualitative differences in EAs moderate...

With the still presence of underreaction to earnings announcements, the Taiwan stock market provides an ideal setting to examine the market response to the announced earnings news. This paper extends the rationale of investors’ differential sophistication and attention allocation by estimating...

Based on a unique arrangement of trading and disclosure times around earnings announcements in the Chinese stock market, we provide evidence of a striking overnight-intraday disparity in terms of the reaction to earnings news. Specifically, we find that the overnight period exhibits a strong and...

Research documents price comovements or “spillovers” between focal firms and peer firms at focal-firm-earnings announcements. We find signed and absolute comovements between focal-firm and peer-firm returns are significantly lower at earnings-announcement dates compared to non-announcement...

In 2007, China adopted the single balance sheet liability method for tax accounting, but its shortcomings have emerged. I sample A-share listed companies from 2007 to 2018 to study whether an abnormal change in deferred tax assets interferes with analysts' earnings forecasts and find that an...

While analyst earnings forecasts are crucial earnings benchmarks in equity valuation, existing studies provide no consensus on whether the market rewards firms for beating analyst earnings expectations. Using a sample of 9,898 firm-year observations from 1,821 unique Chinese listed firms over...

Extending recent findings from Barber et al. (2022) and Welch (2022), we document that retail investors from the discount broker Robinhood swarm into stocks with pending earnings announcements and stay away from them immediately after the announcements. We study four competing explanations for...

This paper investigates the association between current dividends and analysts’ subsequent earnings forecast errors. This investigation is motivated by the evidence on analyst optimism and Ohlson (1991)’s fundamental valuation theory that dividends displace future permanent earnings. For the...

We examine whether forecasters of earnings can be “nudged” into changing their forecasting behavior without altering their economic incentives or limiting their choices. We use a natural experiment on Estimize.com to quantify the effects of a nudge promoting a social norm of exerting one’s...