Abadie, Diamond, and Hainmueller's (2015) analysis of the costs of German reunification is a flagship study for the "synthetic control method" (SCM). Yet three issues can be identified. First, Abadie et al. remove countries that performed poorly in the 1990s from their donor pool, potentially...

As investors increasingly use Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) criteria, a key challenge remains: ESG data is typically reported annually, while financial markets move much faster. This study investigates whether incorporating annual ESG scores can improve monthly stock return...

Debate persists over whether classical econometric or modern machine learning (ML) approaches provide superior forecasts for volatile monthly price series. Despite extensive research, no systematic cross-domain comparison exists to guide model selection across diverse asset types. In this study,...

The sport economic literature relies on the city size to proxy for the size of the home market of sports teams. This paper seeks to clarify whether the commonly used definition for home market size in sports economics is actually a valid measure for revenue potential in the modern digital age....

Low-carbon hydrogen is a promising option for energy security and decarbonization. Cooperation is needed to ensure the widespread use of low-carbon energy. Cooperation among hydrogen supply chain (HSC) agents is essential to overcome the high costs, the lack of infrastructure that needs heavy...

Our research aims to reveal the key social, economic, and other factors behind the common fertility trends of the CEE countries compared to the rest of Europe over the past decades. A panel analysis was conducted to examine the main (social and economic) determinants of the total fertility rate...

We study the structure of isometries of the quadratic Wasserstein space W2(Sn, · )over the sphere endowed with the distance inherited from the norm of Rn+1. We prove that W2(Sn, · )is isometrically rigid, meaning that its isometry group is isomorphic to that of (Sn, · ). This is in striking...

Typically, the inefficiency term in stochastic frontier models is assumed to be positively skewed; however, efficiency scores are biased if this assumption is violated. This paper considers the case in which negative skewness is also allowed in the model. The paper discusses estimation of a...

This paper investigates the impact of regional institutional quality on economic growth and economic resilience. Using data collected by the Quality of Government Institute, we conduct a two-way fixed effect panel regression model for around 200 European regions during the period 2010 to 2021....

Abadie, Diamond, and Hainmueller's (2015) analysis of the costs of German reunification is a flagship study for the "synthetic control method" (SCM). Yet three issues can be identified. First, Abadie et al. remove countries that performed poorly in the 1990s from their donor pool, potentially...

In this paper, we propose new linearly convergent second-order methods for minimizing convex quartic polynomials. This framework is applied for designing optimization schemes, which can solve general convex problems satisfying a new condition of quartic regularity. It assumes positive...

This paper provides a primer on the role of debt modelling in developing a sovereign debt issuance strategy, and how the policy objectives of a sovereign debt manager influence design decisions within their models. The insights provided here are supported by current and past uses of the Canadian...

In UK data, I document the prevalence of misbeliefs regarding the State Pension eligibility age (SPA) and these misbeliefs’ predictivity of retirement. Exploiting policy variation, I estimate a lifecycle model of retirement in which rationally inattentive households learning about uncertain...

Spatial econometrics deals with econometric modeling in the presence of spatial dependence and heterogeneity, where observations correspond to specific spatial units such as points or regions. Traditional estimation techniques assume independent observations and are inadequate when spatial...

This study applies a heteroscedastic spatial Durbin panel data model to investigate how sociodemographic and socioeconomic factors influence regional commuter mobility in the Greater Stockholm Area. Commuter mobility, defined as the flow of people to and from workplaces across regions and over...

This study investigates how Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) and regional absorptive capacity (AC) shape economic complexity at the municipal level in Brazil, an emerging economy characterized by structural heterogeneity. Using regional export data and a manually constructed FDI proxy, we apply...

This paper develops new identification results for multidimensional continuous measurement-error models where all observed measurements are contaminated by potentially correlated errors and none provides an injective mapping of the latent distribution. Using third-order cross-moments, the paper...

In this study, we employ a newly developed time series econometric approach to investigate the development in crime rates in various members states of the European Union (EU) between 1968 and 2019. We propose a panel data model with stochastically time-varying factors that also includes...

The most widely used textbooks today conflate three distinct population parameters: the population regression function (PRF), the conditional expectation function (CEF), and the causal effect. They also incorrectly suggest, and sometimes state, that the Conditional Mean Zero assumption implies...

This paper examines the extent of stock-returns' co-movements among firms in different countries and explores how various measures of closeness affect those co-movements by estimating a spatial autoregressive (SAR) convex combination model that merges four weight matrices-geographical distance,...

The most widely used textbooks on Introductory Econometrics conflate three distinct population parameters: the population regression function (PRF), the conditional expectation function (CEF), and the causal effect. They also incorrectly suggest, and sometimes state, that the Conditional Mean...

The paper contains five parts - a theory about entrepreneurial choice under uncertainty, a formal econometric structure for a test, the test, an appraisal of the test, and a description of the data generating process. Here, an entrepreneur is an individual who manages a firm that produces one...

The FIDELIO (Fully Interregional Dynamic Econometric Long-term Input-Output) model is a flexible, multi-region, multi-sector, input-output model developed by the Joint Research Centre to assess socio-economic and environmental impacts of EU trade and industrial policies. It covers 45 countries,...

Star variables, such as potential output and the neutral real interest rate, are fundamental to economic policymaking but challenging to identify due to their latent nature. Buncic, Pagan, and Robinson (2023) highlight the difficulty of identifying star variables within short macroeconomic...

We use a rigorous three-stage many-analysts design to assess how different researcher decisions—specifically data cleaning, research design, and the interpretation of a policy question—affect the variation in estimated treatment effects. A total of 146 research teams each completed the same...