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Year of publication
Subject
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Economic forecast 11,471 Wirtschaftsprognose 11,465 Prognoseverfahren 3,935 Forecasting model 3,929 Macroeconomic performance 1,843 Wirtschaftslage 1,843 Theorie 1,749 Theory 1,748 Prognose 1,736 Frühindikator 1,574 Leading indicator 1,574 Forecast 1,556 Wirtschaftswachstum 1,414 Economic growth 1,394 Welt 1,147 World 1,144 USA 982 United States 959 Wirtschaftspolitik 754 Economic policy 705 Konjunktur 683 Business cycle 673 EU countries 666 EU-Staaten 666 Zeitreihenanalyse 592 Time series analysis 589 Deutschland 557 Germany 554 National income 481 Nationaleinkommen 481 Wirtschaftsindikator 481 Economic indicator 480 Macroeconometrics 479 Makroökonometrie 479 Geldpolitik 474 Monetary policy 474 Estimation 460 Schätzung 460 Bruttoinlandsprodukt 443 Gross domestic product 442
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Online availability
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Free 3,720 Undetermined 1,576 CC license 134 Digitizable 3
Type of publication
All
Book / Working Paper 6,687 Article 4,410 Journal 399 Database 2
Subcategories
All
Article in journal 3,660 Working paper 1,799 Book section 499 Government document 347 Proceedings 248 Statistics 157 Report 52 Literature review 27 Review 22 Textbook 17 Handbook 14 Annual report 7 Glossary included 7 Case study 6 Biography 4 Guidebook 1 Introduction 1 Law 1
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Language
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English 9,139 German 775 Russian 405 French 381 Polish 123 Spanish 123 Italian 100 Czech 85 Slovak 83 Hungarian 46 Croatian 42 Undetermined 41 Dutch 38 Swedish 31 Portuguese 25 Norwegian 22 Romanian 19 Danish 17 Bulgarian 16 Ukrainian 13 Slovenian 11 Finnish 9 Arabic 7 Serbian 7 Lithuanian 5 Afrikaans 4 Macedonian 3 Valencian 2 Indonesian 2 Kazakh 2 Modern Greek (1453-) 1 Estonian 1 Japanese 1 Korean 1 Malay (macrolanguage) 1 Albanian 1
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Author
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Marcellino, Massimiliano 83 Clements, Michael P. 80 Timmermann, Allan 62 Giannone, Domenico 60 Clark, Todd E. 52 Rossi, Barbara 48 Hendry, David F. 45 Kooths, Stefan 45 Lahiri, Kajal 40 Michelsen, Claus 40 Holtemöller, Oliver 35 Engerer, Hella 34 Sekhposyan, Tatevik 34 Baldi, Guido 33 Wolfers, Justin 32 Franses, Philip Hans 31 Jannsen, Nils 31 Hohlfeld, Peter 30 Tober, Silke 30 Dany-Knedlik, Geraldine 29 Kapetanios, George 29 Stekler, Herman O. 29 Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens 28 D'Agostino, Antonello 28 Groll, Dominik 28 Rietzler, Katja 28 Welfe, Władysław 28 Fritsche, Ulrich 27 McCracken, Michael W. 27 Schorfheide, Frank 27 Gorodnichenko, Yuriy 26 Kholodilin, Konstantin 26 Koop, Gary 26 Lehmann, Robert 25 Wohlrabe, Klaus 25 Junker, Simon 24 Ravazzolo, Francesco 24 Wollmershäuser, Timo 24 Theobald, Thomas 23 Zezza, Gennaro 23
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Institution
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OECD 194 International Monetary Fund / Research Dept 115 National Bureau of Economic Research 105 World Bank 53 European Central Bank 44 World Bank Group 38 International Monetary Fund / African Dept 36 European Commission / Directorate-General for Economic and Financial Affairs 35 International Monetary Fund 35 International Monetary Fund / Middle East and Central Asia Dept 29 Europäische Kommission / Generaldirektion Wirtschaft und Finanzen 28 International Monetary Fund / Asia and Pacific Dept 25 International Monetary Fund / Western Hemisphere Dept 23 Wiener Institut für Internationale Wirtschaftsvergleiche 23 Projektgruppe Gemeinschaftsdiagnose 22 International Monetary Fund / European Dept 20 Weltbank 20 Weltbankgruppe 19 Internationaler Währungsfonds 18 Jerome Levy Economics Institute 16 Niederlande / Centraal Planbureau 16 Österreichisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung 14 Institute of Policy Studies <Singapur> 13 Institut für Höhere Studien 11 USA / Congress / Joint Economic Committee 11 GKI Gazdaságkutató Rt. <Budapest> 10 Institut Narodnochozjajstvennogo Prognozirovanija <Moskau> 10 Konjunkturinstitutet <Stockholm> 10 Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung Halle 9 Nihon Keizai Kenkyū Sentā <Tokio> 9 Nihon-Sōgō-Kenkyūsho <Tokio> / Keizai-Gakubu 9 Prognos AG 9 Republička Zajednica za Znanstveni Rad SR Hrvatske 9 Republički Zavod za Društveno Planiranje SR Hrvatske <Zagreb> 9 USA / Congress / House of Representatives / Committee on the Budget 9 Belarus / Ministerstvo ėkonomiki 8 Economist Intelligence Unit <London> 8 Institute of Southeast Asian Studies 8 USA / Congress / Budget Office 8 Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys 7
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Published in...
All
International journal of forecasting 308 OECD Economic Outlook: Statistics and Projections 117 NBER working paper series 99 Regional Economic Outlook 96 Journal of forecasting 88 Discussion paper / Centre for Economic Policy Research 76 Regional economic outlook 76 Studies on Russian economic development : the official journal of the Institute of Economic Forecasting, Russian Academy of Sciences 74 NBER Working Paper 72 Working paper / National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. 72 European economy 71 World economic outlook 66 Working paper 62 World Economic Outlook 57 IMF working papers 55 World Bank E-Library Archive 54 Working paper series / European Central Bank 50 Economic Updates and Modeling 48 Economic modelling 48 Wirtschaftsdienst : Zeitschrift für Wirtschaftspolitik 48 DIW weekly report : economy, politics, science : a policy bulletin from the German Institute for Economic Research 44 Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a publication of the American Statistical Association 44 Monatsberichte / WIFO, Österreichisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung 44 European economic forecast 42 Global economics paper 40 Economics letters 38 Empirical economics : a journal of the Institute for Advanced Studies, Vienna, Austria 38 Journal of applied econometrics 37 ECB Working Paper 36 EIU special report 36 CESifo working papers 35 Discussion papers / CEPR 34 Ekonomický časopis : časopis pre ekonomickú teóriu, hospodársku politiku, spoločensko-ekonomické prognózovanie 33 Report / IMK, Institut für Makroökonomie und Konjunkturforschung 33 Business report / UTEP Border Region Modeling Project 32 Discussion paper series / Centre for Economic Policy Research / International macroeconomics 32 Finance and economics discussion series 32 Journal of macroeconomics 32 Analyses et prévisions / Institut "Créa" de Macroéconomie Appliquée, Université de Lausanne 31 Applied economics letters 31
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Source
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ECONIS (ZBW) 11,475 RePEc 18 EconStor 4 ArchiDok 1
Showing 1 - 50 of 10,000
 
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Machine learning and economic forecasting: the role of international trade networks
Silva, Thiago Christiano; Wilhelm, Paulo Victor Berri; … - 2024
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An in-depth assessment of the Central Bank of Malta's projections
Saliba, Maria Christine - 2026
This paper presents an in-depth analysis of the performance of the macroeconomic projections produced by Central Bank of Malta (CBM) staff. A real-time macroeconomic database published by the CBM is utilized, allowing for the computation of forecast errors based on the first official data...
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Forecasting Kazakhstan's GDP based on a dynamic factor model with regularization
Akhmet, Alisher - 2026
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Direct Gaussian process predictive regressions with mixed frequency data
Hauzenberger, Niko; Marcellino, Massimiliano; … - 2026
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A Novel Quarterly Macroeconomic Forecasting Framework : Illustration on the Case of Bosnia and Herzegovina
Hlédik, Tibor - 2026
This paper describes the Quarterly Macro Forecasting Framework (QMFF), which is a novel approach to macroeconomic policy analysis and forecasting. At the core of this framework is a Quarterly Projection Model, with main behavioral equations quantified as deviations of real variables from their...
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Nowcasting GDP Growth for Kenya
Danov, Nikolay - 2026
This paper develops a nowcasting model to produce timely estimates of quarterly GDP growth for Kenya. Nowcasting combines official monthly indicators with digital transaction data. Exploiting strong comovement of macroeconomic time series, a few latent factors summarize aggregate dynamics and...
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Algeria Macroeconomic Projection Model (AMPM)
Abderrahim, Mustapha - 2026
The paper describes QMPM, the Quarterly Projection Model for the Bank of Algeria that underpins the Bank’s Forecasting and Policy Analysis System. The model is designed to capture the key features of the economy, including the importance of the hydrocarbon sector, sizable fiscal policy...
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Introducing BISTRO: a foundational model for unconditional and conditional forecasting of macroeconomic time series
Koyuncu, Batuhan; Kwon, Byeungchun; Lombardi, Marco; … - 2026
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Konjunkturprognose Deutschland, Frühjahr 2026
Berlemann, Michael; Hinze, Jörg - 2026
Die deutsche Wirtschaft hatte sich zum Ende vergangenen Jahres hin stabilisiert; viele Konjunkturindikatoren entwickelten sich positiv. Die Wachstumschancen für 2026 und 2027 wurden aufgrund der von der Koalitionsregierung auf den Weg gebrachten fiskalpolitischen Ausgabenprogramme und...
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Measuring economic outlook in the news
Beck, Elliot; Eckert, Franziska; Kühne, Linus; … - 2026
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Austria's economy sees light at the end of the tunnel : economic outlook for 2025 to 2027
Ederer, Stefan; Schiman-Vukan, Stefan - 2026
Austria's economy is recovering over the projection period from a recession that, according to the revised National Accounts, proved comparably severe to Germany's. The rebound is driven by private consumption, while foreign trade in goods continues to contract for the time being. Residential...
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Outlier-robust evaluation of fixed-event macroeconomic survey expectations
Delis, Panagiotis; Kontogeorgos, Georgios - 2026
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Do anecdotes matter? : exploring the Beige Book through textual analysis from 1970 to 2025
Du, Shengwu; Haberkorn, Flora; Kitschelt, Isabel; Lee, … - 2026
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Projecting inflation tail risks in a small open economy : some evidence from Singapore
Chow, Hwee-kwan; Lee, Jordan - 2026
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German economy on the upswing-global economy continues to grow moderately
Dany-Knedlik, Geraldine; Baldi, Guido; Brehl, Nina Maria; … - 2026
After three years of subdued economic activity, the German economy is on the road to recovery. While the Iran war and erratic U.S. trade policy are weighing on growth, their impact is only moderate. Although the U.S. Supreme Court has ruled that U.S. tariffs are unlawful, this does not change...
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The life experience of central bankers and monetary policy decisions: a cross-country dataset
Madeira, Carlos - 2026
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Beating the "pros" with a semi-structural model of their own inflation forecasts
Alves, Sergio Afonso Lago; Areosa, Waldyr Dutra; … - 2026
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Forecasting economic growth with traditional methods and a simple neural network model
Li, Shujie; Feng, Yuanhua - 2026
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Nahost-Krieg trübt Konjunkturausblick : OeNB-Interimsprognose vom März 2026
Fenz, Gerhard; Fritzer, Friedrich; Graf, Bernhard; … - 2026
Nach einer zweijährigen Rezession verzeichnete Österreich 2025 ein moderates Wirtschaftswachstum von 0,7 %. Der Start in das Jahr 2026 verlief positiv. Der am 28. Februar ausgebrochene Nahost- Krieg und die in Folge gestiegenen Energiepreise bringen jedoch erneut große Unsicherheit mit sich...
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OECD Economic Outlook, Interim Report March 2026 : Testing Resilience
2026
The conflict in the Middle East is testing the resilience of the global economy that was being driven by supportive financial and fiscal conditions and increasing demand for artificial intelligence technologies. However, the recent major disruption to global energy and commodity markets has...
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Multivariate economic tail risk and scenario analysis using the survey of professional forecasters
Schick, Manuel; Opschoor, Anne - 2026
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Empirical assessment of budget multipliers for current and capital expenditures in Kazakhstan
Bukenov, Аmantay - 2026
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Erkennen von Expansionsphasen mit der IW-Konjunkturampel
Grömling, Michael; Wirths, Benjamin Paul - 2026 - Stand: Mai 2026
Die IW-Konjunkturampel wurde im Jahr 2015 entwickelt, um die Vielzahl von teilweise heterogenen Konjunkturinformationen systematisch zu bündeln und in einem aussagekräftigen Gesamtbild darzustellen. Mit diesem Verfahren werden für Deutschland, die USA, China, das Vereinigte Königreich und...
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Krieg im Nahen und Mittleren Osten führt zu deutlich erhöhter Inflation : gesamtwirtschaftliche Prognose für Österreich 2026 bis 2028 vom Juni 2026
Fenz, Gerhard; Fritzer, Friedrich; Graf, Bernhard; … - 2026
Die österreichische Wirtschaft hat zum Start ins Jahr 2026 positiv überrascht. Der Konflikt im Nahen und Mittleren Osten hat jedoch seit März die Inflation sprunghaft ansteigen lassen und dürfte die realwirtschaftliche Entwicklung zur Jahresmitte deutlich dämpfen. In Summe erwartet die...
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Potential output in Canada : 2026 assessment
Chernoff, Alex; Hajzler, Christopher; Houle, Stéphanie; … - 2026 - Last updated: May 25, 2026
Growth in potential output is expected to drop from 2.3% in 2025 to 1.2% in 2026 given slowing population growth, US tariffs and trade policy uncertainty. It is then estimated to pick up to an average of 1.5% over 2027-29 as strengthening business and government investment supports trend labour...
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Assessing global potential output growth : April 2026
De Munnik, Daniel; Hess, Kristina; Muiruri, Walter; … - 2026 - Last updated: May 25, 2026
We present the annual update of the Bank of Canada staff estimates for global potential output growth. Growth in global potential output is expected to remain broadly stable over the projection horizon at just above 3%, underpinned by the general strength in trend productivity growth, including...
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On the wisdom of crowds (of economists)
Diebold, Francis X.; Mora, Aarón; Shin, Minchul - 2026
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015650517
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On the wisdom of crowds (of economists)
Diebold, Francis X.; Mora, Aarón; Shin, Minchul - 2025
Book / Working Paper
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News-based inflation expectations : LLM-assisted measurement and forecasting
Tanisa Tawichsri; Suppawong Tuarob; Nuwat Nookhwun; … - 2026
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Partisan bias in economic forecasts : experimental evidence from the presidential elections in Argentina
Mariño Fages, Diego - 2026
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Konjunkturprognose Deutschland, Sommer 2026
Berlemann, Michael; Hinze, Jörg - 2026
Nach gutem Start der deutschen Wirtschaft in dieses Jahr hinein haben sich seit Ende Februar durch den Irankrieg, insbesondere durch die Sperrung der Straße von Hormus und der damit verbundenen Energieverteuerung, die Perspektiven für Wachstum und Inflation deutlich verschlechtert. Die...
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Kalshi and the rise of macro markets
Diercks, Anthony M.; Katz, Jared Dean; Wright, Jonathan H. - 2026
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Kalshi and the Rise of Macro Markets
Diercks, Anthony M.; Katz, Jared Dean; Wright, Jonathan H. - 2026
Book / Working Paper
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Forecasting inflation with artificial intelligence : a comparative analysis
Agostina Gonzalez, Daniela - 2026
Inflationary dynamics underscore the need for advanced methodologies to enhance forecasting accuracy. This paper explores the potential of Artificial Intelligence (AI) in generating short-term inflation forecasts for Argentina during the 2023-2024 period. The methodology leverages OpenAI's...
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Survey design and professional forecasters : the case of uncertainty in the US SPF
Knüppel, Malte; Pavlova, Lora - 2026
Histogram forecasts of inflation and growth from the US Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF) allow for an assessment of the evolution of forecast uncertainty. However, this assessment is complicated by structural breaks in measured uncertainty arising from changes in histogram bin widths...
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Forecasting the economic effects of AI
Karger, Ezra; Kuusela, Otto; Abaluck, Jason; Bryan, Kevin; … - 2026
We elicit forecasts of how AI will affect the U.S. economy, comparing the beliefs of five groups: academic economists, employees at AI companies, policy researchers focused on AI, highly accurate forecasters, and the general public. The median respondent in each group expects substantial...
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Forecasting the Economic Effects of AI
Karger, Ezra; Kuusela, Otto; Abaluck, Jason; Bryan, Kevin A. - 2026
Book / Working Paper
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Inflation expectations in Japan : forecast revision and forecast trend
Zhai, Weiyang; Yoshida, Yūshi - 2026
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015573566
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The models and analysis behind the Bank of Finland's forecasts for the Finnish economy
Sariola, Mikko; Viertola, Hannu - 2026
The Bank of Finland produces forecasts for the Finnish economy using advanced modelling tools. Central to this process is its Aino model, which is a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model that integrates various aspects of the Finnish economy. The forecasts support policy decisions...
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Short-term inflation projections : the new BoG'STIP model
Bragoudakis, Zacharias; Karakitsios, Alexandros; … - 2026
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015665262
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Strednodobá prognóza vývoja ekonomiky Slovenskej republiky v rokoch 2023-2026
Gogora, Matej; Kučerík, Branislav - 2023
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Eighty years of the Korean economy (1970-2050) : the past and a future growth strategy
Cho, Taehyoung - 2023
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Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey : survey methodology, performance and forecast accuracy
Cañas, Jesús; Kerr, Emily; Morales-Burnett, Diego - 2025
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015546289
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United States economic outlook 2024 year-in-review and first half of 2025
2025
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015546387
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United States economic outlook : evolving trends in the ownership of United States federal debt
2025
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Does economic uncertainty predict real activity in real time?
Keijsers, Bart; Dijk, Dick van - 2025
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015440646
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Does economic uncertainty predict real activity in real-time?
Keijsers, Bart; Dijk, Dick van - 2022
Book / Working Paper
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Does Economic Uncertainty Predict Real Activity in Real-time?
Keijsers, Bart; Dijk, Dick van - 2022
Book / Working Paper
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Forecasting GDP with oil price shocks : a mixed-frequency time-varying perspective
Luo, Jiawen; Deng, Jingyi; Cuñado Eizaguirre, Juncal; … - 2025
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Forecasting U.S. economic activity with a small information set
Cooper, Daniel; Olivei, Giovanni P.; Rhodenhiser, Hannah - 2025 - This version: June 2025
We provide a parsimonious setup for forecasting U.S. GDP growth and the unemployment rate based on a few fundamental drivers. This setup yields forecasts that are reasonably accurate compared with private-sector and Federal Reserve forecasts over the 1984-2019 and post-COVID-19 pandemic periods....
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Identifying useful indicators for nowcasting GDP in Sweden
Karlsson, Sune; Mazur, Stepan; Raftab, Mariya - 2025
This paper focuses on identifying useful indicators for nowcasting GDP in Sweden. We analyze 35 monthly indicators spanning the period from 1993 to 2023. Additionally, we evaluate the group-wise performance of these indicators. The analysis is conducted using mixed-data sampling (MIDAS) and...
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BLS payroll revisions: forecasting recessions
Quinlan, Rory; Pinheiro, Roberto - 2025
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Behavioral underpinnings of overreaction in inflation expectations across economic agents
Cornand, Camille; Hubert, Paul; Portier, Rose - 2025
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Geopolitischer Umbruch verschärft Krise : Strukturreformen noch dringlicher
2025 - Abgeschlossen in Essen am 4. April 2025
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New forecasting methods for an old problem : predicting 147 years of systemic financial crises
Plessis, Emile du; Fritsche, Ulrich - 2025
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New forecasting methods for an old problem : predicting 147 years of systemic financial crises
Plessis, Emile du; Fritsche, Ulrich - 2022
Book / Working Paper
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