This study presents three models of multiple linear regressions for forecasting energy demand. The first is a simple multiple linear regression, the second model has an economic interpretation of coefficients (econometric), while the third model is developed in the form of double logarithm...

The article highlights the main trends in the development of world energy. The method of forecasting energy consumption is presented, taking into account the level and dynamics of energy consumption in general, as well as the use of individual energy resources with differentiation by countries...

Angesichts der wachsenden klimapolitischen Herausforderungen streben mittlerweile viele Länder Europas bis zum Jahr 2050 eine Dekarbonisierung an, das heißt den Ausstieg aus der Nutzung fossiler Energieträger. Vor diesem Hintergrund präsentiert dieser Beitrag Prognosen des Energiebedarfs und...

This paper evaluates alternative indicators of global economic activity and other market fundamentals in terms of their usefulness for forecasting real oil prices and global petroleum consumption. We find that world industrial production is one of the most useful indicators that has been...

New research from the ESRI analyses how the COVID-19 crisis will impact upon the Irish economy and environment. It finds that Irish GDP is expected to decrease by around 13 per cent in 2020 as a result of the economic disruptions caused by the COVID-19 crisis. From an environmental perspective,...

This study develops a scenario-based model to assess the current and future trends in energy demand in Africa and associated greenhouse gas emissions. Future energy demand is forecast on the basis of socio-economic variables such as gross domestic product, income per capita, population, and...

This study assesses the accuracy of time-series econometric methods in forecasting electricity demand in developing countries. The analysis of historical time series for 106 developing countries over 1960-2012 demonstrates that econometric forecasts are highly accurate for the majority of these...

Front Cover -- Energy and Behaviour: Towards a Low Carbon Future -- Copyright -- Dedication -- Contents -- List of figures -- List of tables -- Contributors -- Foreword -- References -- Chapter 1 Energy and behaviour: Challenges of a low-carbon future -- 1 Introduction -- 2 The role of energy...

This paper is concerned with the role of oil and gas in the development of the global economy. Its focus is on the context in which oil and gas producers in both established and developing countries must frame their policies in order to optimize the benefits of producing such resources. It...

This study develops an end-use energy demand analysis model for Romania to project energy demand by sector and end-use for 2015–50. The study finds that Romania's energy demand in 2050 would be 34 percent higher than the level in 2013. The industry sector would be the largest final...

Throughout our history we have demonstrated the relationship between the decisions of energetic character, economy and the environment. For this reason is that they begin to develop and implement energetic modeling techniques as alternative tools for both the development of energy policies, and...

The Energy Modeling Forum 28 (EMF28) study systematically explores the energy system transition required to meet the European goal of reducing greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions by 80% by 2050. The 80% scenario is compared to a reference case that aims to achieve a 40% GHG reduction target. The...

This study attempts to predict energy intensities of world's regions, the world gross domestic product per capita and the world energy price via developing VAR (2) model. Whether causalities exist between groups of variables are tested by proceeding Granger Wald Test to structure a VAR model...

In the past decade, the popularity of realized measures and various linear models for volatility forecasting has attracted attention in the literature on the price variability of energy markets. However, results that would guide practitioners to a specific estimator and model when aiming for the...

The Federal Environment Agency (UBA) has for several years been researching appropriate, effective ways of implementing the targets set by the international community on stemming climate change in a highly industrialised and developed nation like Germany. The findings of the Intergovernmental...